Porirua CityPopulation forecast
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Pukerua Bay-Plimmerton

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Pukerua Bay-Plimmerton indicate a 42.5% increase in population under working age, a 80.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 45.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Porirua City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Pukerua Bay-Plimmerton - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43197.74567.46706.6+351
5 to 92947.14437.27087.0+413
10 to 142856.83816.16636.6+378
15 to 192506.03285.35835.8+333
20 to 241814.32574.14504.4+269
25 to 291684.02914.74034.0+235
30 to 341974.73796.15045.0+307
35 to 392897.04807.76726.6+383
40 to 443628.75208.47947.9+432
45 to 493628.74747.68608.5+498
50 to 543358.04347.08078.0+473
55 to 593117.54266.97197.1+408
60 to 642826.83866.26216.1+339
65 to 692285.53195.15195.1+291
70 to 741443.52544.14314.3+287
75 to 79691.72023.33423.4+272
80 to 84451.11212.02132.1+168
85 and over370.9490.81581.6+121
Total persons4,159100.06,198100.010,117100.0+5,959

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 158 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 213 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 342 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 431 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 519 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 621 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 719 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 807 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 860 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 794 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 672 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 504 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 403 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 450 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 583 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 663 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 708 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 670 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 49 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 121 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 202 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 254 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 319 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 386 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 426 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 434 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 474 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 520 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 480 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 379 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 291 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 257 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 328 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 381 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 443 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 456 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 37 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 45 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 69 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 144 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 228 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 282 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 311 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 335 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 362 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 362 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 289 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 197 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 168 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 181 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 250 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 285 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 294 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 319
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 109 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 92 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 140 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 177 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 200 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 235 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 294 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 374 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 386 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 275 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 192 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 125 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 112 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 193 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 255 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 282 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 264 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 214 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 12 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 76 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 132 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 109 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 91 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 104 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 115 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 99 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 112 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 158 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 191 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 182 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 123 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 76 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 77 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 96 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 149 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 137
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Pukerua Bay-Plimmerton was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 191 and account for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 520 persons.

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