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Porirua CityPopulation forecast

Upper Cannons Creek

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Upper Cannons Creek indicate a 19.8% increase in population under working age, a 46.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 14.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Upper Cannons Creek is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Upper Cannons Creek - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 438110.145410.24949.7+113
5 to 93419.14319.74809.4+139
10 to 143519.44009.04639.1+111
15 to 1938210.23728.44398.6+56
20 to 243238.62936.63526.9+29
25 to 292496.62876.52845.6+35
30 to 342085.53006.72705.3+62
35 to 392316.13167.13045.9+73
40 to 442426.52856.43306.5+88
45 to 492225.92174.93126.1+90
50 to 541915.12204.92805.5+89
55 to 591514.02074.72274.5+76
60 to 641423.81743.91883.7+47
65 to 691223.21443.21823.6+60
70 to 741102.91202.71733.4+62
75 to 79701.91152.61573.1+87
80 to 84200.5751.71072.1+87
85 and over180.5431.0671.3+49
Total persons3,755100.04,455100.05,109100.0+1,354
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, January 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Upper Cannons Creek was ages 15 to 19, which accounted for 10.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 92 and account for 6.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 454 persons.

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