Porirua CityPopulation forecast
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Upper Cannons Creek

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Upper Cannons Creek indicate a 28.9% increase in population under working age, a 25.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 18.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Porirua City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Upper Cannons Creek - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 438110.150411.056710.2+186
5 to 93419.146110.15419.7+200
10 to 143519.44189.15039.1+152
15 to 1938210.23788.24678.4+85
20 to 243238.63026.63766.8+53
25 to 292496.63297.23406.1+91
30 to 342085.53347.33526.3+144
35 to 392316.13257.13786.8+147
40 to 442426.52846.23806.8+138
45 to 492225.92154.73416.1+118
50 to 541915.12244.92865.2+96
55 to 591514.02114.62284.1+77
60 to 641423.81743.81893.4+47
65 to 691223.21413.11803.2+58
70 to 741102.91082.41642.9+53
75 to 79701.91012.21402.5+70
80 to 84200.5561.2851.5+65
85 and over180.5200.4420.7+24
Total persons3,755100.04,585100.05,559100.0+1,804

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 42 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 85 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 140 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 164 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 180 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 189 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 228 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 286 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 341 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 380 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 378 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 352 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 340 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 376 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 467 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 503 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 541 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 567 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 20 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 56 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 101 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 108 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 141 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 174 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 211 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 224 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 215 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 284 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 325 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 334 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 329 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 302 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 378 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 418 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 461 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 504 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 18 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 20 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 70 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 110 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 122 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 142 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 151 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 191 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 222 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 242 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 231 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 208 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 249 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 323 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 382 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 351 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 341 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 381
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 22 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 30 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 39 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 55 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 39 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 15 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 17 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 63 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 125 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 96 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 52 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 18 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 11 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 74 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 90 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 85 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 80 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 63 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 2 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 35 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 31 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: -2 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 19 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 32 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 59 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 33 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -7 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 42 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 95 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 126 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 80 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -21 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -5 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 67 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 120 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 123
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Upper Cannons Creek was ages 15 to 19, which accounted for 10.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 126 and account for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 504 persons.

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