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Porirua CityPopulation forecast

Porirua-Elsdon-Takapuwahia

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Porirua-Elsdon-Takapuwahia is forecast to grow from 846 in 2013 to 1,844 in 2048, with the average household size remaining stable from 3.03 to 2.86 by 2048.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Porirua-Elsdon-Takapuwahia. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Porirua-Elsdon-TakapuwahiaForecast year
Summary20132018202320282033203820432048
Population2,7013,2855,0095,2815,2805,2545,2645,315
Change in population (5yrs)--5841,724272-1-251051
Average annual change--3.99%8.80%1.06%0.00%-0.10%0.04%0.19%
Households7979941,5431,6411,6711,6981,7261,754
Average household size3.033.023.063.032.982.922.872.86
Population in non private dwellings283283283303303303303303
Dwellings8461,0211,6211,7241,7541,7841,8141,844
Dwelling occupancy rate94.2197.3695.1995.1995.2795.1895.1595.12
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Porirua-Elsdon-Takapuwahia was estimated to be 2,701 people. It is expected to increase by over 2,580 people to 5,281 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 4.57%. This is based on an increase of over 844 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household remaining stable from 3.03 to 3.03 by 2028.

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