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Porirua CityPopulation forecast

Paekakariki Hill-Pauatahanui

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Paekakariki Hill-Pauatahanui is forecast to grow from 434 in 2013 to 873 in 2031, with the average household size falling from 3.01 to 3.00 by 2031.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Paekakariki Hill-Pauatahanui. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Paekakariki Hill-PauatahanuiForecast year
Summary20132018202320282033203820432048
Population1,2631,3261,3482,5344,9968,50211,22212,857
Change in population (5yrs)--63231,1862,4623,5052,7201,635
Average annual change--0.98%0.34%13.45%14.54%11.22%5.71%2.76%
Households4174504718441,6042,6863,5764,186
Average household size3.012.932.853.003.113.143.123.06
Population in non private dwellings66666565656
Dwellings4344594868731,6612,7813,7014,331
Dwelling occupancy rate96.0898.0496.9196.6896.5796.5896.6296.65
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Paekakariki Hill-Pauatahanui was estimated to be 1,263 people. It is expected to increase by over 1,271 people to 2,534 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 4.75%. This is based on an increase of over 427 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 3.01 to 3.00 by 2028.

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