Porirua CityPopulation forecast
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Porirua City

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Porirua City will increase by an average of 357 dwellings per annum to 28,808 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Porirua City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2013 to 2043
Porirua CityChange in dwellings between 2013 and 2043
Areanumber%
Porirua City+10,704+59.1
Ascot Park+150+17.6
Lower Cannons Creek+878+61.0
Paekakariki Hill-Pauatahanui+1,604+369.6
Paremata-Camborne-Mana-Inlet+503+47.5
Paremata-Papakowhai+811+37.0
Porirua East-Ranui Heights+303+25.0
Porirua-Elsdon-Takapuwahia+966+114.2
Pukerua Bay-Plimmerton+2,726+165.1
Titahi Bay+148+8.8
Titahi Bay South-Mana Island+185+13.9
Upper Cannons Creek+522+51.5
Waitangirua+484+44.3
Whitby East+1,280+69.0
Whitby West+144+10.0

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2019.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 28,808 2042 Total dwellings: 28,617 2041 Total dwellings: 28,426 2040 Total dwellings: 28,199 2039 Total dwellings: 27,928 2038 Total dwellings: 27,641 2037 Total dwellings: 27,352 2036 Total dwellings: 26,992 2035 Total dwellings: 26,608 2034 Total dwellings: 26,194 2033 Total dwellings: 25,803 2032 Total dwellings: 25,315 2031 Total dwellings: 24,791 2030 Total dwellings: 24,272 2029 Total dwellings: 23,834 2028 Total dwellings: 23,409 2027 Total dwellings: 22,946 2026 Total dwellings: 22,481 2025 Total dwellings: 22,004 2024 Total dwellings: 21,505 2023 Total dwellings: 21,039 2022 Total dwellings: 20,593 2021 Total dwellings: 20,118 2020 Total dwellings: 19,720 2019 Total dwellings: 19,370 2018 Total dwellings: 19,163 2017 Total dwellings: 18,918 2016 Total dwellings: 18,669 2015 Total dwellings: 18,433 2014 Total dwellings: 18,233 2043 Total dwellings: 28,808 2042 Total dwellings: 28,617 2041 Total dwellings: 28,426 2040 Total dwellings: 28,199 2039 Total dwellings: 27,928 2038 Total dwellings: 27,641 2037 Total dwellings: 27,352 2036 Total dwellings: 26,992 2035 Total dwellings: 26,608 2034 Total dwellings: 26,194 2033 Total dwellings: 25,803 2032 Total dwellings: 25,315 2031 Total dwellings: 24,791 2030 Total dwellings: 24,272 2029 Total dwellings: 23,834 2028 Total dwellings: 23,409 2027 Total dwellings: 22,946 2026 Total dwellings: 22,481 2025 Total dwellings: 22,004 2024 Total dwellings: 21,505 2023 Total dwellings: 21,039 2022 Total dwellings: 20,593 2021 Total dwellings: 20,118 2020 Total dwellings: 19,720 2019 Total dwellings: 19,370 2018 Total dwellings: 19,163 2017 Total dwellings: 18,918 2016 Total dwellings: 18,669 2015 Total dwellings: 18,433 2014 Total dwellings: 18,233 2043 Forecast development: 191 2042 Forecast development: 191 2041 Forecast development: 227 2040 Forecast development: 271 2039 Forecast development: 287 2038 Forecast development: 289 2037 Forecast development: 360 2036 Forecast development: 384 2035 Forecast development: 414 2034 Forecast development: 391 2033 Forecast development: 488 2032 Forecast development: 524 2031 Forecast development: 519 2030 Forecast development: 438 2029 Forecast development: 425 2028 Forecast development: 463 2027 Forecast development: 465 2026 Forecast development: 477 2025 Forecast development: 499 2024 Forecast development: 466 2023 Forecast development: 446 2022 Forecast development: 475 2021 Forecast development: 398 2020 Forecast development: 350 2019 Forecast development: 207 2018 Forecast development: 245 2017 Forecast development: 249 2016 Forecast development: 236 2015 Forecast development: 200 2014 Forecast development: 129
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
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