Porirua CityPopulation forecast
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Porirua City

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Porirua City will increase by an average of 400 dwellings per annum to 30,116 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Porirua City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2013 to 2043
Porirua CityChange in dwellings between 2013 and 2043
Areanumber%
Porirua City+12,012+66.3
Ascot Park+150+17.6
Lower Cannons Creek+882+61.2
Paekakariki Hill-Pauatahanui+3,267+752.8
Paremata-Camborne-Mana-Inlet+370+34.9
Paremata-Papakowhai+713+32.5
Porirua East-Ranui Heights+544+44.8
Porirua-Elsdon-Takapuwahia+968+114.4
Pukerua Bay-Plimmerton+2,389+144.7
Titahi Bay+152+9.0
Titahi Bay South-Mana Island+185+13.9
Upper Cannons Creek+523+51.6
Waitangirua+570+52.2
Whitby East+1,162+62.7
Whitby West+137+9.5

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, January 2020.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 30,116 2042 Total dwellings: 29,892 2041 Total dwellings: 29,671 2040 Total dwellings: 29,356 2039 Total dwellings: 29,020 2038 Total dwellings: 28,669 2037 Total dwellings: 28,278 2036 Total dwellings: 27,871 2035 Total dwellings: 27,414 2034 Total dwellings: 26,950 2033 Total dwellings: 26,497 2032 Total dwellings: 26,014 2031 Total dwellings: 25,508 2030 Total dwellings: 24,972 2029 Total dwellings: 24,428 2028 Total dwellings: 23,882 2027 Total dwellings: 23,350 2026 Total dwellings: 22,825 2025 Total dwellings: 22,307 2024 Total dwellings: 21,810 2023 Total dwellings: 21,348 2022 Total dwellings: 20,905 2021 Total dwellings: 20,501 2020 Total dwellings: 20,114 2019 Total dwellings: 19,709 2018 Total dwellings: 19,361 2017 Total dwellings: 19,041 2016 Total dwellings: 18,834 2015 Total dwellings: 18,589 2014 Total dwellings: 18,340 2043 Total dwellings: 30,116 2042 Total dwellings: 29,892 2041 Total dwellings: 29,671 2040 Total dwellings: 29,356 2039 Total dwellings: 29,020 2038 Total dwellings: 28,669 2037 Total dwellings: 28,278 2036 Total dwellings: 27,871 2035 Total dwellings: 27,414 2034 Total dwellings: 26,950 2033 Total dwellings: 26,497 2032 Total dwellings: 26,014 2031 Total dwellings: 25,508 2030 Total dwellings: 24,972 2029 Total dwellings: 24,428 2028 Total dwellings: 23,882 2027 Total dwellings: 23,350 2026 Total dwellings: 22,825 2025 Total dwellings: 22,307 2024 Total dwellings: 21,810 2023 Total dwellings: 21,348 2022 Total dwellings: 20,905 2021 Total dwellings: 20,501 2020 Total dwellings: 20,114 2019 Total dwellings: 19,709 2018 Total dwellings: 19,361 2017 Total dwellings: 19,041 2016 Total dwellings: 18,834 2015 Total dwellings: 18,589 2014 Total dwellings: 18,340 2043 Forecast development: 224 2042 Forecast development: 221 2041 Forecast development: 315 2040 Forecast development: 336 2039 Forecast development: 351 2038 Forecast development: 391 2037 Forecast development: 407 2036 Forecast development: 457 2035 Forecast development: 464 2034 Forecast development: 453 2033 Forecast development: 483 2032 Forecast development: 506 2031 Forecast development: 536 2030 Forecast development: 544 2029 Forecast development: 546 2028 Forecast development: 532 2027 Forecast development: 525 2026 Forecast development: 518 2025 Forecast development: 497 2024 Forecast development: 462 2023 Forecast development: 443 2022 Forecast development: 404 2021 Forecast development: 387 2020 Forecast development: 405 2019 Forecast development: 348 2018 Forecast development: 320 2017 Forecast development: 207 2016 Forecast development: 245 2015 Forecast development: 249 2014 Forecast development: 236
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.
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