Porirua CityPopulation forecast
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Porirua City

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Porirua City will increase by an average of 332 dwellings per annum to 28,054 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Porirua City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2013 to 2043
Porirua CityChange in dwellings between 2013 and 2043
Areanumber%
Porirua City+9,950+55.0
Ascot Park+150+17.6
Lower Cannons Creek+878+61.0
Paekakariki Hill-Pauatahanui+1,216+280.2
Paremata-Camborne-Mana-Inlet+503+47.5
Paremata-Papakowhai+811+37.0
Porirua East-Ranui Heights+303+25.0
Porirua-Elsdon-Takapuwahia+966+114.2
Pukerua Bay-Plimmerton+2,352+142.5
Titahi Bay+148+8.8
Titahi Bay South-Mana Island+181+13.6
Upper Cannons Creek+522+51.5
Waitangirua+508+46.5
Whitby East+1,277+68.9
Whitby West+135+9.4

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 28,054 2042 Total dwellings: 27,840 2041 Total dwellings: 27,639 2040 Total dwellings: 27,408 2039 Total dwellings: 27,157 2038 Total dwellings: 26,911 2037 Total dwellings: 26,662 2036 Total dwellings: 26,354 2035 Total dwellings: 26,030 2034 Total dwellings: 25,692 2033 Total dwellings: 25,360 2032 Total dwellings: 24,944 2031 Total dwellings: 24,490 2030 Total dwellings: 24,019 2029 Total dwellings: 23,637 2028 Total dwellings: 23,242 2027 Total dwellings: 22,838 2026 Total dwellings: 22,420 2025 Total dwellings: 21,967 2024 Total dwellings: 21,489 2023 Total dwellings: 21,030 2022 Total dwellings: 20,588 2021 Total dwellings: 20,118 2020 Total dwellings: 19,720 2019 Total dwellings: 19,370 2018 Total dwellings: 19,163 2017 Total dwellings: 18,918 2016 Total dwellings: 18,669 2015 Total dwellings: 18,433 2014 Total dwellings: 18,233 2043 Total dwellings: 28,054 2042 Total dwellings: 27,840 2041 Total dwellings: 27,639 2040 Total dwellings: 27,408 2039 Total dwellings: 27,157 2038 Total dwellings: 26,911 2037 Total dwellings: 26,662 2036 Total dwellings: 26,354 2035 Total dwellings: 26,030 2034 Total dwellings: 25,692 2033 Total dwellings: 25,360 2032 Total dwellings: 24,944 2031 Total dwellings: 24,490 2030 Total dwellings: 24,019 2029 Total dwellings: 23,637 2028 Total dwellings: 23,242 2027 Total dwellings: 22,838 2026 Total dwellings: 22,420 2025 Total dwellings: 21,967 2024 Total dwellings: 21,489 2023 Total dwellings: 21,030 2022 Total dwellings: 20,588 2021 Total dwellings: 20,118 2020 Total dwellings: 19,720 2019 Total dwellings: 19,370 2018 Total dwellings: 19,163 2017 Total dwellings: 18,918 2016 Total dwellings: 18,669 2015 Total dwellings: 18,433 2014 Total dwellings: 18,233 2043 Forecast development: 214 2042 Forecast development: 201 2041 Forecast development: 231 2040 Forecast development: 251 2039 Forecast development: 246 2038 Forecast development: 249 2037 Forecast development: 308 2036 Forecast development: 324 2035 Forecast development: 338 2034 Forecast development: 332 2033 Forecast development: 416 2032 Forecast development: 454 2031 Forecast development: 471 2030 Forecast development: 382 2029 Forecast development: 395 2028 Forecast development: 404 2027 Forecast development: 418 2026 Forecast development: 453 2025 Forecast development: 478 2024 Forecast development: 459 2023 Forecast development: 442 2022 Forecast development: 470 2021 Forecast development: 398 2020 Forecast development: 350 2019 Forecast development: 207 2018 Forecast development: 245 2017 Forecast development: 249 2016 Forecast development: 236 2015 Forecast development: 200 2014 Forecast development: 129
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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