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Porirua CityPopulation forecast

Porirua City

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Porirua City will increase by an average of 373 dwellings per annum to 31,176 in 2048.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Porirua City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2013 to 2048
Porirua CityChange in dwellings between 2013 and 2048
Porirua City+13,072+72.2
Ascot Park+175+20.5
Lower Cannons Creek+897+62.3
Paekakariki Hill-Pauatahanui+3,897+897.9
Porirua East-Ranui Heights+609+50.2
Pukerua Bay-Plimmerton+2,469+149.5
Titahi Bay+182+10.8
Titahi Bay South-Mana Island+220+16.5
Upper Cannons Creek+528+52.1
Whitby East+1,182+63.8
Whitby West+157+10.9
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

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