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Porirua CityPopulation forecast

Paremata-Papakowhai

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Paremata-Papakowhai will increase by an average of 24 dwellings per annum to 2,907 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Paremata-Papakowhai. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2013-2043 dwelling additions are based on building consents and an assessment of residential activity. From 2013 onwards:

  • Aotea Block - Stage 8 (The Fjorde Estate) - 14 dwellings (2014-2016)
  • Aotea Block - Stage 10 (John Burke Drive Subdivision) - 40 dwellings (2014-2017)
  • Aotea Block - Stage 9 (Queen Charlotte/Frances Brown Avenue Estate) - 19 dwellings (2014-2018)
  • Aotea Block Stages 1-6 residual - 15 dwellings (2014-2018)
  • Aotea Block - Baxters Knob - 34 dwellings (2014-2019)
  • Aotea Block - Stage 11 ( John Burke Drive Subdivision) - 95 dwellings (2015-2018)
  • Aotea Block - Future Stages - Stages 12- 2016 onwards - 113 dwellings (2016-2020)
  • Aotea Block - Future Stages - Stages 13- 2017 onwards - 88 dwellings (2017-2020)
  • Aotea Block - Future Stages - Stages 15- 2018 onwards - 44 dwellings (2018-2023)
  • Aotea Block - Future Stages - Stages 14- 2018 onwards - 79 dwellings (2018-2024)
  • Aotea Block - Future Stages - Stages 16- 2019 onwards - 39 dwellings (2019-2023)
  • Aotea Block - Future Stages - Stages 18- 2020 onwards - 35 dwellings (2020-2024)
  • Aotea Block - Future Stages - Stages 19- 2021 onwards - 36 dwellings (2021-2024)
  • Aotea Block - Future Stages - Stages 17- 2020 onwards - 47 dwellings (2021-2025)
  • Low infill development (3-5 dwellings per annum)
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