Porirua CityPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Paremata-Papakowhai

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Paremata-Papakowhai will increase by an average of 27 dwellings per annum to 3,005 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Porirua City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2006-2013 dwelling additions are based on dwelling counts recorded at the 2013 Census. Assumptions concerning development over the post 2013 period include:

  • Aotea Block - Baxters Knob - 34 dwellings (2014 - 2019)
  • Aotea Block - Stage 10 (John Burke Drive Subdivision) - 40 dwellings (2014 - 2017)
  • Aotea Block - Stage 8 (The Fjorde Estate) - 14 dwellings (2014 - 2016)
  • Aotea Block - Stage 9 (Queen Charlotte/Frances Brown Avenue Estate) - 19 dwellings (2014 - 2018)
  • Aotea Block Stages 1-6 residual - 15 dwellings (2014 - 2018)
  • Aotea Block - Stage 11 ( John Burke Drive Subdivision) - 95 dwellings (2015 - 2018)
  • Aotea Block - Future Stages - Stages 12- 2016 onwards - 113 dwellings (2016 - 2020)
  • Aotea Block - Future Stages - Stages 13- 2017 onwards - 88 dwellings (2017 - 2020)
  • Aotea Block - Future Stages - Stages 13- 2017 onwards - 88 dwellings (2017 - 2020)
  • Aotea Block - Future Stages - Stages 15- 2018 onwards - 44 dwellings (2018 - 2023)
  • Aotea Block - Future Stages - Stages 16- 2019 onwards - 39 dwellings (2019 - 2023)
  • Aotea Block - Future Stages - Stages 18- 2020 onwards - 35 dwellings (2020 - 2024)
  • Aotea Block - Future Stages - Stages 17- 2020 onwards - 47 dwellings (2021 - 2025)
  • Aotea Block - Future Stages - Stages 19- 2021 onwards - 36 dwellings (2021 - 2024)
  • Low infill development (3-5 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 3,005 2042 Total dwellings: 3,000 2041 Total dwellings: 2,995 2040 Total dwellings: 2,990 2039 Total dwellings: 2,985 2038 Total dwellings: 2,980 2037 Total dwellings: 2,975 2036 Total dwellings: 2,970 2035 Total dwellings: 2,965 2034 Total dwellings: 2,960 2033 Total dwellings: 2,956 2032 Total dwellings: 2,952 2031 Total dwellings: 2,948 2030 Total dwellings: 2,944 2029 Total dwellings: 2,940 2028 Total dwellings: 2,937 2027 Total dwellings: 2,934 2026 Total dwellings: 2,931 2025 Total dwellings: 2,928 2024 Total dwellings: 2,918 2023 Total dwellings: 2,885 2022 Total dwellings: 2,834 2021 Total dwellings: 2,771 2020 Total dwellings: 2,723 2019 Total dwellings: 2,662 2018 Total dwellings: 2,596 2017 Total dwellings: 2,504 2016 Total dwellings: 2,395 2015 Total dwellings: 2,302 2014 Total dwellings: 2,231 2043 Total dwellings: 3,005 2042 Total dwellings: 3,000 2041 Total dwellings: 2,995 2040 Total dwellings: 2,990 2039 Total dwellings: 2,985 2038 Total dwellings: 2,980 2037 Total dwellings: 2,975 2036 Total dwellings: 2,970 2035 Total dwellings: 2,965 2034 Total dwellings: 2,960 2033 Total dwellings: 2,956 2032 Total dwellings: 2,952 2031 Total dwellings: 2,948 2030 Total dwellings: 2,944 2029 Total dwellings: 2,940 2028 Total dwellings: 2,937 2027 Total dwellings: 2,934 2026 Total dwellings: 2,931 2025 Total dwellings: 2,928 2024 Total dwellings: 2,918 2023 Total dwellings: 2,885 2022 Total dwellings: 2,834 2021 Total dwellings: 2,771 2020 Total dwellings: 2,723 2019 Total dwellings: 2,662 2018 Total dwellings: 2,596 2017 Total dwellings: 2,504 2016 Total dwellings: 2,395 2015 Total dwellings: 2,302 2014 Total dwellings: 2,231 2043 Forecast development: 5 2042 Forecast development: 5 2041 Forecast development: 5 2040 Forecast development: 5 2039 Forecast development: 5 2038 Forecast development: 5 2037 Forecast development: 5 2036 Forecast development: 5 2035 Forecast development: 5 2034 Forecast development: 4 2033 Forecast development: 4 2032 Forecast development: 4 2031 Forecast development: 4 2030 Forecast development: 4 2029 Forecast development: 3 2028 Forecast development: 3 2027 Forecast development: 3 2026 Forecast development: 3 2025 Forecast development: 10 2024 Forecast development: 33 2023 Forecast development: 51 2022 Forecast development: 63 2021 Forecast development: 48 2020 Forecast development: 61 2019 Forecast development: 66 2018 Forecast development: 92 2017 Forecast development: 109 2016 Forecast development: 93 2015 Forecast development: 71 2014 Forecast development: 37
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
v19.11.15-1.0.0