Porirua CityPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Porirua-Elsdon-Takapuwahia

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Porirua-Elsdon-Takapuwahia will increase by an average of 32 dwellings per annum to 1,814 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Porirua City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2013-2043 dwelling additions are based on building consents and an assessment of residential activity. From 2013 onwards:

  • Kenepuru Landing - 800 dwellings (2020-2026)
  • Public Housing Renewal - 225 dwellings (2025-2032)
  • Low infill development (5-6 dwellings per annum)
  • Forecast residential development
    Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 1,814 2042 Total dwellings: 1,808 2041 Total dwellings: 1,802 2040 Total dwellings: 1,796 2039 Total dwellings: 1,790 2038 Total dwellings: 1,784 2037 Total dwellings: 1,778 2036 Total dwellings: 1,772 2035 Total dwellings: 1,766 2034 Total dwellings: 1,760 2033 Total dwellings: 1,754 2032 Total dwellings: 1,748 2031 Total dwellings: 1,742 2030 Total dwellings: 1,736 2029 Total dwellings: 1,730 2028 Total dwellings: 1,724 2027 Total dwellings: 1,718 2026 Total dwellings: 1,712 2025 Total dwellings: 1,706 2024 Total dwellings: 1,686 2023 Total dwellings: 1,621 2022 Total dwellings: 1,516 2021 Total dwellings: 1,411 2020 Total dwellings: 1,306 2019 Total dwellings: 1,176 2018 Total dwellings: 1,021 2017 Total dwellings: 866 2016 Total dwellings: 861 2015 Total dwellings: 856 2014 Total dwellings: 851 2043 Total dwellings: 1,814 2042 Total dwellings: 1,808 2041 Total dwellings: 1,802 2040 Total dwellings: 1,796 2039 Total dwellings: 1,790 2038 Total dwellings: 1,784 2037 Total dwellings: 1,778 2036 Total dwellings: 1,772 2035 Total dwellings: 1,766 2034 Total dwellings: 1,760 2033 Total dwellings: 1,754 2032 Total dwellings: 1,748 2031 Total dwellings: 1,742 2030 Total dwellings: 1,736 2029 Total dwellings: 1,730 2028 Total dwellings: 1,724 2027 Total dwellings: 1,718 2026 Total dwellings: 1,712 2025 Total dwellings: 1,706 2024 Total dwellings: 1,686 2023 Total dwellings: 1,621 2022 Total dwellings: 1,516 2021 Total dwellings: 1,411 2020 Total dwellings: 1,306 2019 Total dwellings: 1,176 2018 Total dwellings: 1,021 2017 Total dwellings: 866 2016 Total dwellings: 861 2015 Total dwellings: 856 2014 Total dwellings: 851 2043 Forecast development: 6 2042 Forecast development: 6 2041 Forecast development: 6 2040 Forecast development: 6 2039 Forecast development: 6 2038 Forecast development: 6 2037 Forecast development: 6 2036 Forecast development: 6 2035 Forecast development: 6 2034 Forecast development: 6 2033 Forecast development: 6 2032 Forecast development: 6 2031 Forecast development: 6 2030 Forecast development: 6 2029 Forecast development: 6 2028 Forecast development: 6 2027 Forecast development: 6 2026 Forecast development: 6 2025 Forecast development: 20 2024 Forecast development: 65 2023 Forecast development: 105 2022 Forecast development: 105 2021 Forecast development: 105 2020 Forecast development: 130 2019 Forecast development: 155 2018 Forecast development: 155 2017 Forecast development: 5 2016 Forecast development: 5 2015 Forecast development: 5 2014 Forecast development: 5
    Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.
    v20.2.13-1.0.2