Upper HuttPopulation forecast
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Elderslea

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Elderslea indicate a 1.4% increase in population under working age, a 15.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.3% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Upper Hutt City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Elderslea - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42216.72026.02045.9-17
5 to 92106.42196.52216.4+10
10 to 141915.82106.32146.2+23
15 to 192407.21935.81915.5-49
20 to 241755.31675.01745.0-1
25 to 291925.81765.21855.4-7
30 to 341614.91995.91955.6+34
35 to 391805.51915.71945.6+14
40 to 442216.71945.82005.8-21
45 to 492016.11915.72035.9+2
50 to 542417.32036.02045.9-36
55 to 592126.42136.32005.8-12
60 to 641614.91915.71895.5+28
65 to 691614.92036.01905.5+29
70 to 741514.61915.71985.7+47
75 to 791303.91514.51785.1+47
80 to 841314.01364.01684.9+37
85 and over1283.91303.91474.2+18
Total persons3,309100.03,360100.03,455100.0+147

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 147 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 168 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 178 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 198 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 190 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 189 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 200 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 204 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 203 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 200 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 194 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 195 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 185 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 174 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 191 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 214 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 221 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 204 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 130 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 136 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 151 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 191 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 203 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 191 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 213 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 203 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 191 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 194 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 191 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 199 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 176 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 167 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 193 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 210 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 219 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 202 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 128 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 131 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 130 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 151 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 161 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 161 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 212 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 241 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 201 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 221 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 180 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 161 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 192 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 175 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 240 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 191 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 210 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 221
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 17 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 32 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 26 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 8 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -13 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -2 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -13 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 1 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 12 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 3 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: -4 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 9 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 7 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 4 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 2 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 2 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 2 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 5 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 21 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 40 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 42 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 29 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 1 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -37 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -10 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -27 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 11 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 38 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: -16 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -8 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -46 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 19 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 9 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -19
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Elderslea was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69, which is expected to increase by 42 and account for 6.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 219 persons.

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