Upper HuttPopulation forecast
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Te Marua

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Te Marua indicate a 5.9% decrease in population under working age, a 56.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Upper Hutt City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Te Marua - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4756.4695.51245.9+49
5 to 9746.4796.41466.9+72
10 to 141059.0917.31718.1+66
15 to 191149.7907.21577.4+43
20 to 24453.8584.6914.3+46
25 to 29403.4504.0773.6+37
30 to 34554.7604.81065.0+51
35 to 39706.0735.81446.8+75
40 to 441159.8957.61858.7+70
45 to 491159.81048.31888.9+73
50 to 541149.8987.81627.7+48
55 to 59706.0967.71276.0+57
60 to 64534.5877.01145.4+61
65 to 69453.8786.3934.4+48
70 to 74353.0514.1803.8+45
75 to 79252.1332.7622.9+37
80 to 84201.7221.8502.4+30
85 and over00.0110.9401.9+40
Total persons1,168100.01,246100.02,115100.0+948

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 40 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 50 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 62 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 80 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 93 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 114 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 127 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 162 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 188 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 185 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 144 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 106 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 77 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 91 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 157 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 171 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 146 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 124 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 11 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 22 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 33 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 51 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 78 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 87 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 96 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 98 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 104 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 95 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 73 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 60 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 50 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 58 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 90 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 91 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 79 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 69 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 0 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 20 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 25 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 35 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 45 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 53 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 70 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 114 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 115 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 115 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 70 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 55 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 40 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 45 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 114 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 105 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 74 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 75
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 28 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 28 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 29 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 28 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 15 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 27 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 31 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 64 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 84 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 90 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 71 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 45 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 27 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 33 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 67 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 79 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 67 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 55 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 11 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 2 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 8 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 16 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 33 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 34 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 26 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -17 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -11 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -19 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 3 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 6 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 10 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 13 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -24 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -13 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 5 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -6
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Te Marua was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 9.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 60 to 64, which is expected to increase by 34 and account for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 45 to 49 years, with a total of 104 persons.

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