Wairarapa
Components of population change
The greatest population change for the Wairarapa is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,671 people.
There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.
| Components of population change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wairarapa | Forecast period | ||||||
| Component | 2014 to 2018 | 2019 to 2023 | 2024 to 2028 | 2029 to 2033 | 2034 to 2038 | 2039 to 2043 | |
| Births | -- | 2,446 | 2,519 | 2,554 | 2,577 | 2,625 | 2,702 |
| Deaths | -- | 2,197 | 2,290 | 2,460 | 2,691 | 2,903 | 3,052 |
| Natural increase/decrease | -- | 249 | 229 | 94 | -114 | -277 | -350 |
| Net migration | -- | 2,433 | 1,692 | 1,716 | 1,861 | 2,275 | 2,559 |
| Change in persons in non-private dwellings | -- | -11 | 65 | 74 | 40 | 60 | 20 |
| Total population change | 2,671 | 1,986 | 1,884 | 1,787 | 2,057 | 2,230 | |
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (opens a new window), the population experts, March 2018.
