Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Carterton District Council

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Carterton District Council is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 724 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Carterton District CouncilForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births477492513518533558
Deaths395447505575638678
Natural increase/decrease82457-56-105-121
Net migration643446409382536641
Change in persons in non-private dwellings015100100

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 109 2042 forecast population change: 105 2041 forecast population change: 104 2040 forecast population change: 100 2039 forecast population change: 103 2038 forecast population change: 104 2037 forecast population change: 92 2036 forecast population change: 84 2035 forecast population change: 84 2034 forecast population change: 77 2033 forecast population change: 77 2032 forecast population change: 61 2031 forecast population change: 64 2030 forecast population change: 62 2029 forecast population change: 62 2028 forecast population change: 65 2027 forecast population change: 68 2026 forecast population change: 84 2025 forecast population change: 92 2024 forecast population change: 118 2023 forecast population change: 114 2022 forecast population change: 94 2021 forecast population change: 90 2020 forecast population change: 108 2019 forecast population change: 99 2018 forecast population change: 127 2017 forecast population change: 126 2016 forecast population change: 119 2015 forecast population change: 133 2014 forecast population change: 219
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: -24 2042 Natural increase: -24 2041 Natural increase: -24 2040 Natural increase: -24 2039 Natural increase: -24 2038 Natural increase: -24 2037 Natural increase: -23 2036 Natural increase: -21 2035 Natural increase: -19 2034 Natural increase: -18 2033 Natural increase: -16 2032 Natural increase: -14 2031 Natural increase: -11 2030 Natural increase: -9 2029 Natural increase: -6 2028 Natural increase: -3 2027 Natural increase: -1 2026 Natural increase: 2 2025 Natural increase: 4 2024 Natural increase: 5 2023 Natural increase: 7 2022 Natural increase: 8 2021 Natural increase: 9 2020 Natural increase: 11 2019 Natural increase: 11 2018 Natural increase: 12 2017 Natural increase: 14 2016 Natural increase: 16 2015 Natural increase: 19 2014 Natural increase: 21 2043 Total deaths: 138 2042 Total deaths: 137 2041 Total deaths: 135 2040 Total deaths: 134 2039 Total deaths: 134 2038 Total deaths: 133 2037 Total deaths: 130 2036 Total deaths: 128 2035 Total deaths: 125 2034 Total deaths: 123 2033 Total deaths: 120 2032 Total deaths: 118 2031 Total deaths: 115 2030 Total deaths: 112 2029 Total deaths: 109 2028 Total deaths: 106 2027 Total deaths: 104 2026 Total deaths: 101 2025 Total deaths: 98 2024 Total deaths: 96 2023 Total deaths: 94 2022 Total deaths: 92 2021 Total deaths: 90 2020 Total deaths: 87 2019 Total deaths: 86 2018 Total deaths: 84 2017 Total deaths: 82 2016 Total deaths: 80 2015 Total deaths: 77 2014 Total deaths: 72 2043 Total births: 114 2042 Total births: 113 2041 Total births: 112 2040 Total births: 110 2039 Total births: 109 2038 Total births: 108 2037 Total births: 107 2036 Total births: 107 2035 Total births: 106 2034 Total births: 105 2033 Total births: 104 2032 Total births: 104 2031 Total births: 104 2030 Total births: 103 2029 Total births: 103 2028 Total births: 103 2027 Total births: 103 2026 Total births: 103 2025 Total births: 102 2024 Total births: 101 2023 Total births: 100 2022 Total births: 99 2021 Total births: 98 2020 Total births: 97 2019 Total births: 97 2018 Total births: 96 2017 Total births: 96 2016 Total births: 96 2015 Total births: 96 2014 Total births: 94 2043 Natural increase: -24 2042 Natural increase: -24 2041 Natural increase: -24 2040 Natural increase: -24 2039 Natural increase: -24 2038 Natural increase: -24 2037 Natural increase: -23 2036 Natural increase: -21 2035 Natural increase: -19 2034 Natural increase: -18 2033 Natural increase: -16 2032 Natural increase: -14 2031 Natural increase: -11 2030 Natural increase: -9 2029 Natural increase: -6 2028 Natural increase: -3 2027 Natural increase: -1 2026 Natural increase: 2 2025 Natural increase: 4 2024 Natural increase: 5 2023 Natural increase: 7 2022 Natural increase: 8 2021 Natural increase: 9 2020 Natural increase: 11 2019 Natural increase: 11 2018 Natural increase: 12 2017 Natural increase: 14 2016 Natural increase: 16 2015 Natural increase: 19 2014 Natural increase: 21 2043 Total deaths: 138 2042 Total deaths: 137 2041 Total deaths: 135 2040 Total deaths: 134 2039 Total deaths: 134 2038 Total deaths: 133 2037 Total deaths: 130 2036 Total deaths: 128 2035 Total deaths: 125 2034 Total deaths: 123 2033 Total deaths: 120 2032 Total deaths: 118 2031 Total deaths: 115 2030 Total deaths: 112 2029 Total deaths: 109 2028 Total deaths: 106 2027 Total deaths: 104 2026 Total deaths: 101 2025 Total deaths: 98 2024 Total deaths: 96 2023 Total deaths: 94 2022 Total deaths: 92 2021 Total deaths: 90 2020 Total deaths: 87 2019 Total deaths: 86 2018 Total deaths: 84 2017 Total deaths: 82 2016 Total deaths: 80 2015 Total deaths: 77 2014 Total deaths: 72 2043 Total births: 114 2042 Total births: 113 2041 Total births: 112 2040 Total births: 110 2039 Total births: 109 2038 Total births: 108 2037 Total births: 107 2036 Total births: 107 2035 Total births: 106 2034 Total births: 105 2033 Total births: 104 2032 Total births: 104 2031 Total births: 104 2030 Total births: 103 2029 Total births: 103 2028 Total births: 103 2027 Total births: 103 2026 Total births: 103 2025 Total births: 102 2024 Total births: 101 2023 Total births: 100 2022 Total births: 99 2021 Total births: 98 2020 Total births: 97 2019 Total births: 97 2018 Total births: 96 2017 Total births: 96 2016 Total births: 96 2015 Total births: 96 2014 Total births: 94
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 133 2042 Total net migration: 129 2041 Total net migration: 127 2040 Total net migration: 124 2039 Total net migration: 127 2038 Total net migration: 119 2037 Total net migration: 115 2036 Total net migration: 105 2035 Total net migration: 103 2034 Total net migration: 95 2033 Total net migration: 93 2032 Total net migration: 75 2031 Total net migration: 75 2030 Total net migration: 71 2029 Total net migration: 68 2028 Total net migration: 58 2027 Total net migration: 69 2026 Total net migration: 82 2025 Total net migration: 88 2024 Total net migration: 112 2023 Total net migration: 93 2022 Total net migration: 87 2021 Total net migration: 81 2020 Total net migration: 98 2019 Total net migration: 88 2018 Total net migration: 115 2017 Total net migration: 112 2016 Total net migration: 103 2015 Total net migration: 114 2014 Total net migration: 198 2043 Total out migration: 790 2042 Total out migration: 782 2041 Total out migration: 775 2040 Total out migration: 768 2039 Total out migration: 760 2038 Total out migration: 754 2037 Total out migration: 747 2036 Total out migration: 741 2035 Total out migration: 736 2034 Total out migration: 731 2033 Total out migration: 725 2032 Total out migration: 721 2031 Total out migration: 717 2030 Total out migration: 714 2029 Total out migration: 711 2028 Total out migration: 709 2027 Total out migration: 705 2026 Total out migration: 700 2025 Total out migration: 695 2024 Total out migration: 689 2023 Total out migration: 683 2022 Total out migration: 678 2021 Total out migration: 674 2020 Total out migration: 669 2019 Total out migration: 664 2018 Total out migration: 658 2017 Total out migration: 651 2016 Total out migration: 646 2015 Total out migration: 641 2014 Total out migration: 630 2043 Total in migration: 923 2042 Total in migration: 911 2041 Total in migration: 902 2040 Total in migration: 892 2039 Total in migration: 887 2038 Total in migration: 872 2037 Total in migration: 862 2036 Total in migration: 846 2035 Total in migration: 838 2034 Total in migration: 826 2033 Total in migration: 819 2032 Total in migration: 796 2031 Total in migration: 792 2030 Total in migration: 785 2029 Total in migration: 779 2028 Total in migration: 767 2027 Total in migration: 774 2026 Total in migration: 782 2025 Total in migration: 783 2024 Total in migration: 801 2023 Total in migration: 776 2022 Total in migration: 765 2021 Total in migration: 756 2020 Total in migration: 767 2019 Total in migration: 752 2018 Total in migration: 773 2017 Total in migration: 763 2016 Total in migration: 750 2015 Total in migration: 755 2014 Total in migration: 828 2043 Total net migration: 133 2042 Total net migration: 129 2041 Total net migration: 127 2040 Total net migration: 124 2039 Total net migration: 127 2038 Total net migration: 119 2037 Total net migration: 115 2036 Total net migration: 105 2035 Total net migration: 103 2034 Total net migration: 95 2033 Total net migration: 93 2032 Total net migration: 75 2031 Total net migration: 75 2030 Total net migration: 71 2029 Total net migration: 68 2028 Total net migration: 58 2027 Total net migration: 69 2026 Total net migration: 82 2025 Total net migration: 88 2024 Total net migration: 112 2023 Total net migration: 93 2022 Total net migration: 87 2021 Total net migration: 81 2020 Total net migration: 98 2019 Total net migration: 88 2018 Total net migration: 115 2017 Total net migration: 112 2016 Total net migration: 103 2015 Total net migration: 114 2014 Total net migration: 198 2043 Total out migration: 790 2042 Total out migration: 782 2041 Total out migration: 775 2040 Total out migration: 768 2039 Total out migration: 760 2038 Total out migration: 754 2037 Total out migration: 747 2036 Total out migration: 741 2035 Total out migration: 736 2034 Total out migration: 731 2033 Total out migration: 725 2032 Total out migration: 721 2031 Total out migration: 717 2030 Total out migration: 714 2029 Total out migration: 711 2028 Total out migration: 709 2027 Total out migration: 705 2026 Total out migration: 700 2025 Total out migration: 695 2024 Total out migration: 689 2023 Total out migration: 683 2022 Total out migration: 678 2021 Total out migration: 674 2020 Total out migration: 669 2019 Total out migration: 664 2018 Total out migration: 658 2017 Total out migration: 651 2016 Total out migration: 646 2015 Total out migration: 641 2014 Total out migration: 630 2043 Total in migration: 923 2042 Total in migration: 911 2041 Total in migration: 902 2040 Total in migration: 892 2039 Total in migration: 887 2038 Total in migration: 872 2037 Total in migration: 862 2036 Total in migration: 846 2035 Total in migration: 838 2034 Total in migration: 826 2033 Total in migration: 819 2032 Total in migration: 796 2031 Total in migration: 792 2030 Total in migration: 785 2029 Total in migration: 779 2028 Total in migration: 767 2027 Total in migration: 774 2026 Total in migration: 782 2025 Total in migration: 783 2024 Total in migration: 801 2023 Total in migration: 776 2022 Total in migration: 765 2021 Total in migration: 756 2020 Total in migration: 767 2019 Total in migration: 752 2018 Total in migration: 773 2017 Total in migration: 763 2016 Total in migration: 750 2015 Total in migration: 755 2014 Total in migration: 828
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
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