Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Masterton District Council

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Masterton District Council is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,340 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Masterton District CouncilForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births1,4201,4561,4541,4591,4791,514
Deaths1,3551,3531,4201,5261,6341,718
Natural increase/decrease6510334-67-155-204
Net migration1,2558548621,0891,2801,451
Change in persons in non-private dwellings203040402020

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 265 2042 forecast population change: 282 2041 forecast population change: 257 2040 forecast population change: 237 2039 forecast population change: 225 2038 forecast population change: 271 2037 forecast population change: 226 2036 forecast population change: 236 2035 forecast population change: 209 2034 forecast population change: 203 2033 forecast population change: 260 2032 forecast population change: 212 2031 forecast population change: 199 2030 forecast population change: 196 2029 forecast population change: 193 2028 forecast population change: 171 2027 forecast population change: 205 2026 forecast population change: 187 2025 forecast population change: 203 2024 forecast population change: 168 2023 forecast population change: 217 2022 forecast population change: 189 2021 forecast population change: 162 2020 forecast population change: 201 2019 forecast population change: 219 2018 forecast population change: 347 2017 forecast population change: 254 2016 forecast population change: 221 2015 forecast population change: 265 2014 forecast population change: 253
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: -42 2042 Natural increase: -42 2041 Natural increase: -41 2040 Natural increase: -40 2039 Natural increase: -38 2038 Natural increase: -36 2037 Natural increase: -34 2036 Natural increase: -31 2035 Natural increase: -28 2034 Natural increase: -25 2033 Natural increase: -21 2032 Natural increase: -19 2031 Natural increase: -14 2030 Natural increase: -9 2029 Natural increase: -4 2028 Natural increase: -1 2027 Natural increase: 3 2026 Natural increase: 7 2025 Natural increase: 10 2024 Natural increase: 14 2023 Natural increase: 18 2022 Natural increase: 20 2021 Natural increase: 22 2020 Natural increase: 23 2019 Natural increase: 20 2018 Natural increase: 14 2017 Natural increase: 10 2016 Natural increase: 10 2015 Natural increase: 13 2014 Natural increase: 19 2043 Total deaths: 348 2042 Total deaths: 347 2041 Total deaths: 344 2040 Total deaths: 342 2039 Total deaths: 338 2038 Total deaths: 335 2037 Total deaths: 331 2036 Total deaths: 327 2035 Total deaths: 323 2034 Total deaths: 319 2033 Total deaths: 314 2032 Total deaths: 311 2031 Total deaths: 306 2030 Total deaths: 300 2029 Total deaths: 295 2028 Total deaths: 292 2027 Total deaths: 288 2026 Total deaths: 284 2025 Total deaths: 280 2024 Total deaths: 276 2023 Total deaths: 272 2022 Total deaths: 271 2021 Total deaths: 270 2020 Total deaths: 270 2019 Total deaths: 271 2018 Total deaths: 274 2017 Total deaths: 276 2016 Total deaths: 275 2015 Total deaths: 269 2014 Total deaths: 261 2043 Total births: 306 2042 Total births: 304 2041 Total births: 303 2040 Total births: 301 2039 Total births: 300 2038 Total births: 298 2037 Total births: 297 2036 Total births: 296 2035 Total births: 294 2034 Total births: 294 2033 Total births: 293 2032 Total births: 292 2031 Total births: 292 2030 Total births: 291 2029 Total births: 291 2028 Total births: 291 2027 Total births: 291 2026 Total births: 291 2025 Total births: 290 2024 Total births: 290 2023 Total births: 290 2022 Total births: 291 2021 Total births: 292 2020 Total births: 292 2019 Total births: 291 2018 Total births: 288 2017 Total births: 286 2016 Total births: 284 2015 Total births: 283 2014 Total births: 280 2043 Natural increase: -42 2042 Natural increase: -42 2041 Natural increase: -41 2040 Natural increase: -40 2039 Natural increase: -38 2038 Natural increase: -36 2037 Natural increase: -34 2036 Natural increase: -31 2035 Natural increase: -28 2034 Natural increase: -25 2033 Natural increase: -21 2032 Natural increase: -19 2031 Natural increase: -14 2030 Natural increase: -9 2029 Natural increase: -4 2028 Natural increase: -1 2027 Natural increase: 3 2026 Natural increase: 7 2025 Natural increase: 10 2024 Natural increase: 14 2023 Natural increase: 18 2022 Natural increase: 20 2021 Natural increase: 22 2020 Natural increase: 23 2019 Natural increase: 20 2018 Natural increase: 14 2017 Natural increase: 10 2016 Natural increase: 10 2015 Natural increase: 13 2014 Natural increase: 19 2043 Total deaths: 348 2042 Total deaths: 347 2041 Total deaths: 344 2040 Total deaths: 342 2039 Total deaths: 338 2038 Total deaths: 335 2037 Total deaths: 331 2036 Total deaths: 327 2035 Total deaths: 323 2034 Total deaths: 319 2033 Total deaths: 314 2032 Total deaths: 311 2031 Total deaths: 306 2030 Total deaths: 300 2029 Total deaths: 295 2028 Total deaths: 292 2027 Total deaths: 288 2026 Total deaths: 284 2025 Total deaths: 280 2024 Total deaths: 276 2023 Total deaths: 272 2022 Total deaths: 271 2021 Total deaths: 270 2020 Total deaths: 270 2019 Total deaths: 271 2018 Total deaths: 274 2017 Total deaths: 276 2016 Total deaths: 275 2015 Total deaths: 269 2014 Total deaths: 261 2043 Total births: 306 2042 Total births: 304 2041 Total births: 303 2040 Total births: 301 2039 Total births: 300 2038 Total births: 298 2037 Total births: 297 2036 Total births: 296 2035 Total births: 294 2034 Total births: 294 2033 Total births: 293 2032 Total births: 292 2031 Total births: 292 2030 Total births: 291 2029 Total births: 291 2028 Total births: 291 2027 Total births: 291 2026 Total births: 291 2025 Total births: 290 2024 Total births: 290 2023 Total births: 290 2022 Total births: 291 2021 Total births: 292 2020 Total births: 292 2019 Total births: 291 2018 Total births: 288 2017 Total births: 286 2016 Total births: 284 2015 Total births: 283 2014 Total births: 280
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 307 2042 Total net migration: 304 2041 Total net migration: 298 2040 Total net migration: 278 2039 Total net migration: 264 2038 Total net migration: 287 2037 Total net migration: 260 2036 Total net migration: 268 2035 Total net migration: 238 2034 Total net migration: 228 2033 Total net migration: 241 2032 Total net migration: 231 2031 Total net migration: 214 2030 Total net migration: 205 2029 Total net migration: 198 2028 Total net migration: 172 2027 Total net migration: 162 2026 Total net migration: 180 2025 Total net migration: 193 2024 Total net migration: 154 2023 Total net migration: 198 2022 Total net migration: 139 2021 Total net migration: 140 2020 Total net migration: 178 2019 Total net migration: 199 2018 Total net migration: 313 2017 Total net migration: 245 2016 Total net migration: 212 2015 Total net migration: 252 2014 Total net migration: 234 2043 Total out migration: 2,242 2042 Total out migration: 2,224 2041 Total out migration: 2,206 2040 Total out migration: 2,190 2039 Total out migration: 2,175 2038 Total out migration: 2,157 2037 Total out migration: 2,142 2036 Total out migration: 2,126 2035 Total out migration: 2,111 2034 Total out migration: 2,098 2033 Total out migration: 2,083 2032 Total out migration: 2,069 2031 Total out migration: 2,056 2030 Total out migration: 2,043 2029 Total out migration: 2,031 2028 Total out migration: 2,021 2027 Total out migration: 2,013 2026 Total out migration: 2,002 2025 Total out migration: 1,990 2024 Total out migration: 1,982 2023 Total out migration: 1,971 2022 Total out migration: 1,966 2021 Total out migration: 1,958 2020 Total out migration: 1,945 2019 Total out migration: 1,929 2018 Total out migration: 1,904 2017 Total out migration: 1,888 2016 Total out migration: 1,874 2015 Total out migration: 1,856 2014 Total out migration: 1,860 2043 Total in migration: 2,549 2042 Total in migration: 2,528 2041 Total in migration: 2,504 2040 Total in migration: 2,468 2039 Total in migration: 2,439 2038 Total in migration: 2,444 2037 Total in migration: 2,402 2036 Total in migration: 2,393 2035 Total in migration: 2,349 2034 Total in migration: 2,326 2033 Total in migration: 2,324 2032 Total in migration: 2,300 2031 Total in migration: 2,269 2030 Total in migration: 2,248 2029 Total in migration: 2,229 2028 Total in migration: 2,193 2027 Total in migration: 2,175 2026 Total in migration: 2,182 2025 Total in migration: 2,183 2024 Total in migration: 2,137 2023 Total in migration: 2,169 2022 Total in migration: 2,105 2021 Total in migration: 2,098 2020 Total in migration: 2,123 2019 Total in migration: 2,128 2018 Total in migration: 2,217 2017 Total in migration: 2,133 2016 Total in migration: 2,086 2015 Total in migration: 2,107 2014 Total in migration: 2,095 2043 Total net migration: 307 2042 Total net migration: 304 2041 Total net migration: 298 2040 Total net migration: 278 2039 Total net migration: 264 2038 Total net migration: 287 2037 Total net migration: 260 2036 Total net migration: 268 2035 Total net migration: 238 2034 Total net migration: 228 2033 Total net migration: 241 2032 Total net migration: 231 2031 Total net migration: 214 2030 Total net migration: 205 2029 Total net migration: 198 2028 Total net migration: 172 2027 Total net migration: 162 2026 Total net migration: 180 2025 Total net migration: 193 2024 Total net migration: 154 2023 Total net migration: 198 2022 Total net migration: 139 2021 Total net migration: 140 2020 Total net migration: 178 2019 Total net migration: 199 2018 Total net migration: 313 2017 Total net migration: 245 2016 Total net migration: 212 2015 Total net migration: 252 2014 Total net migration: 234 2043 Total out migration: 2,242 2042 Total out migration: 2,224 2041 Total out migration: 2,206 2040 Total out migration: 2,190 2039 Total out migration: 2,175 2038 Total out migration: 2,157 2037 Total out migration: 2,142 2036 Total out migration: 2,126 2035 Total out migration: 2,111 2034 Total out migration: 2,098 2033 Total out migration: 2,083 2032 Total out migration: 2,069 2031 Total out migration: 2,056 2030 Total out migration: 2,043 2029 Total out migration: 2,031 2028 Total out migration: 2,021 2027 Total out migration: 2,013 2026 Total out migration: 2,002 2025 Total out migration: 1,990 2024 Total out migration: 1,982 2023 Total out migration: 1,971 2022 Total out migration: 1,966 2021 Total out migration: 1,958 2020 Total out migration: 1,945 2019 Total out migration: 1,929 2018 Total out migration: 1,904 2017 Total out migration: 1,888 2016 Total out migration: 1,874 2015 Total out migration: 1,856 2014 Total out migration: 1,860 2043 Total in migration: 2,549 2042 Total in migration: 2,528 2041 Total in migration: 2,504 2040 Total in migration: 2,468 2039 Total in migration: 2,439 2038 Total in migration: 2,444 2037 Total in migration: 2,402 2036 Total in migration: 2,393 2035 Total in migration: 2,349 2034 Total in migration: 2,326 2033 Total in migration: 2,324 2032 Total in migration: 2,300 2031 Total in migration: 2,269 2030 Total in migration: 2,248 2029 Total in migration: 2,229 2028 Total in migration: 2,193 2027 Total in migration: 2,175 2026 Total in migration: 2,182 2025 Total in migration: 2,183 2024 Total in migration: 2,137 2023 Total in migration: 2,169 2022 Total in migration: 2,105 2021 Total in migration: 2,098 2020 Total in migration: 2,123 2019 Total in migration: 2,128 2018 Total in migration: 2,217 2017 Total in migration: 2,133 2016 Total in migration: 2,086 2015 Total in migration: 2,107 2014 Total in migration: 2,095
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
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