Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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South Wairarapa District

Components of population change

The greatest population change for South Wairarapa District is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 606 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
South Wairarapa DistrictForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births549570588600613630
Deaths447490535590631656
Natural increase/decrease102815310-18-25
Net migration535392445390458468
Change in persons in non-private dwellings-3120240300

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 91 2042 forecast population change: 91 2041 forecast population change: 91 2040 forecast population change: 84 2039 forecast population change: 86 2038 forecast population change: 87 2037 forecast population change: 117 2036 forecast population change: 92 2035 forecast population change: 85 2034 forecast population change: 89 2033 forecast population change: 85 2032 forecast population change: 78 2031 forecast population change: 79 2030 forecast population change: 73 2029 forecast population change: 84 2028 forecast population change: 89 2027 forecast population change: 116 2026 forecast population change: 89 2025 forecast population change: 110 2024 forecast population change: 118 2023 forecast population change: 113 2022 forecast population change: 124 2021 forecast population change: 86 2020 forecast population change: 87 2019 forecast population change: 82 2018 forecast population change: 114 2017 forecast population change: 122 2016 forecast population change: 126 2015 forecast population change: 118 2014 forecast population change: 127
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: -5 2042 Natural increase: -5 2041 Natural increase: -5 2040 Natural increase: -5 2039 Natural increase: -6 2038 Natural increase: -5 2037 Natural increase: -4 2036 Natural increase: -3 2035 Natural increase: -3 2034 Natural increase: -2 2033 Natural increase: -1 2032 Natural increase: 0 2031 Natural increase: 1 2030 Natural increase: 4 2029 Natural increase: 6 2028 Natural increase: 7 2027 Natural increase: 10 2026 Natural increase: 10 2025 Natural increase: 12 2024 Natural increase: 13 2023 Natural increase: 15 2022 Natural increase: 15 2021 Natural increase: 16 2020 Natural increase: 17 2019 Natural increase: 18 2018 Natural increase: 19 2017 Natural increase: 19 2016 Natural increase: 20 2015 Natural increase: 21 2014 Natural increase: 23 2043 Total deaths: 132 2042 Total deaths: 132 2041 Total deaths: 131 2040 Total deaths: 131 2039 Total deaths: 130 2038 Total deaths: 129 2037 Total deaths: 127 2036 Total deaths: 126 2035 Total deaths: 125 2034 Total deaths: 123 2033 Total deaths: 122 2032 Total deaths: 121 2031 Total deaths: 119 2030 Total deaths: 115 2029 Total deaths: 113 2028 Total deaths: 112 2027 Total deaths: 108 2026 Total deaths: 107 2025 Total deaths: 105 2024 Total deaths: 103 2023 Total deaths: 100 2022 Total deaths: 99 2021 Total deaths: 98 2020 Total deaths: 96 2019 Total deaths: 95 2018 Total deaths: 94 2017 Total deaths: 92 2016 Total deaths: 90 2015 Total deaths: 87 2014 Total deaths: 84 2043 Total births: 128 2042 Total births: 127 2041 Total births: 126 2040 Total births: 125 2039 Total births: 125 2038 Total births: 124 2037 Total births: 123 2036 Total births: 123 2035 Total births: 122 2034 Total births: 121 2033 Total births: 121 2032 Total births: 120 2031 Total births: 120 2030 Total births: 120 2029 Total births: 119 2028 Total births: 119 2027 Total births: 118 2026 Total births: 118 2025 Total births: 117 2024 Total births: 116 2023 Total births: 115 2022 Total births: 114 2021 Total births: 114 2020 Total births: 113 2019 Total births: 113 2018 Total births: 113 2017 Total births: 111 2016 Total births: 110 2015 Total births: 108 2014 Total births: 107 2043 Natural increase: -5 2042 Natural increase: -5 2041 Natural increase: -5 2040 Natural increase: -5 2039 Natural increase: -6 2038 Natural increase: -5 2037 Natural increase: -4 2036 Natural increase: -3 2035 Natural increase: -3 2034 Natural increase: -2 2033 Natural increase: -1 2032 Natural increase: 0 2031 Natural increase: 1 2030 Natural increase: 4 2029 Natural increase: 6 2028 Natural increase: 7 2027 Natural increase: 10 2026 Natural increase: 10 2025 Natural increase: 12 2024 Natural increase: 13 2023 Natural increase: 15 2022 Natural increase: 15 2021 Natural increase: 16 2020 Natural increase: 17 2019 Natural increase: 18 2018 Natural increase: 19 2017 Natural increase: 19 2016 Natural increase: 20 2015 Natural increase: 21 2014 Natural increase: 23 2043 Total deaths: 132 2042 Total deaths: 132 2041 Total deaths: 131 2040 Total deaths: 131 2039 Total deaths: 130 2038 Total deaths: 129 2037 Total deaths: 127 2036 Total deaths: 126 2035 Total deaths: 125 2034 Total deaths: 123 2033 Total deaths: 122 2032 Total deaths: 121 2031 Total deaths: 119 2030 Total deaths: 115 2029 Total deaths: 113 2028 Total deaths: 112 2027 Total deaths: 108 2026 Total deaths: 107 2025 Total deaths: 105 2024 Total deaths: 103 2023 Total deaths: 100 2022 Total deaths: 99 2021 Total deaths: 98 2020 Total deaths: 96 2019 Total deaths: 95 2018 Total deaths: 94 2017 Total deaths: 92 2016 Total deaths: 90 2015 Total deaths: 87 2014 Total deaths: 84 2043 Total births: 128 2042 Total births: 127 2041 Total births: 126 2040 Total births: 125 2039 Total births: 125 2038 Total births: 124 2037 Total births: 123 2036 Total births: 123 2035 Total births: 122 2034 Total births: 121 2033 Total births: 121 2032 Total births: 120 2031 Total births: 120 2030 Total births: 120 2029 Total births: 119 2028 Total births: 119 2027 Total births: 118 2026 Total births: 118 2025 Total births: 117 2024 Total births: 116 2023 Total births: 115 2022 Total births: 114 2021 Total births: 114 2020 Total births: 113 2019 Total births: 113 2018 Total births: 113 2017 Total births: 111 2016 Total births: 110 2015 Total births: 108 2014 Total births: 107
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 96 2042 Total net migration: 95 2041 Total net migration: 96 2040 Total net migration: 89 2039 Total net migration: 92 2038 Total net migration: 92 2037 Total net migration: 91 2036 Total net migration: 96 2035 Total net migration: 87 2034 Total net migration: 91 2033 Total net migration: 86 2032 Total net migration: 79 2031 Total net migration: 78 2030 Total net migration: 69 2029 Total net migration: 79 2028 Total net migration: 82 2027 Total net migration: 82 2026 Total net migration: 79 2025 Total net migration: 98 2024 Total net migration: 105 2023 Total net migration: 98 2022 Total net migration: 89 2021 Total net migration: 70 2020 Total net migration: 70 2019 Total net migration: 64 2018 Total net migration: 95 2017 Total net migration: 134 2016 Total net migration: 106 2015 Total net migration: 97 2014 Total net migration: 103 2043 Total out migration: 896 2042 Total out migration: 890 2041 Total out migration: 884 2040 Total out migration: 878 2039 Total out migration: 872 2038 Total out migration: 867 2037 Total out migration: 861 2036 Total out migration: 855 2035 Total out migration: 849 2034 Total out migration: 843 2033 Total out migration: 838 2032 Total out migration: 833 2031 Total out migration: 828 2030 Total out migration: 824 2029 Total out migration: 819 2028 Total out migration: 813 2027 Total out migration: 808 2026 Total out migration: 803 2025 Total out migration: 796 2024 Total out migration: 788 2023 Total out migration: 782 2022 Total out migration: 776 2021 Total out migration: 772 2020 Total out migration: 768 2019 Total out migration: 764 2018 Total out migration: 757 2017 Total out migration: 747 2016 Total out migration: 740 2015 Total out migration: 734 2014 Total out migration: 731 2043 Total in migration: 992 2042 Total in migration: 985 2041 Total in migration: 980 2040 Total in migration: 967 2039 Total in migration: 964 2038 Total in migration: 959 2037 Total in migration: 952 2036 Total in migration: 951 2035 Total in migration: 937 2034 Total in migration: 934 2033 Total in migration: 923 2032 Total in migration: 912 2031 Total in migration: 906 2030 Total in migration: 893 2029 Total in migration: 897 2028 Total in migration: 895 2027 Total in migration: 890 2026 Total in migration: 881 2025 Total in migration: 893 2024 Total in migration: 893 2023 Total in migration: 880 2022 Total in migration: 865 2021 Total in migration: 842 2020 Total in migration: 838 2019 Total in migration: 828 2018 Total in migration: 853 2017 Total in migration: 880 2016 Total in migration: 846 2015 Total in migration: 830 2014 Total in migration: 835 2043 Total net migration: 96 2042 Total net migration: 95 2041 Total net migration: 96 2040 Total net migration: 89 2039 Total net migration: 92 2038 Total net migration: 92 2037 Total net migration: 91 2036 Total net migration: 96 2035 Total net migration: 87 2034 Total net migration: 91 2033 Total net migration: 86 2032 Total net migration: 79 2031 Total net migration: 78 2030 Total net migration: 69 2029 Total net migration: 79 2028 Total net migration: 82 2027 Total net migration: 82 2026 Total net migration: 79 2025 Total net migration: 98 2024 Total net migration: 105 2023 Total net migration: 98 2022 Total net migration: 89 2021 Total net migration: 70 2020 Total net migration: 70 2019 Total net migration: 64 2018 Total net migration: 95 2017 Total net migration: 134 2016 Total net migration: 106 2015 Total net migration: 97 2014 Total net migration: 103 2043 Total out migration: 896 2042 Total out migration: 890 2041 Total out migration: 884 2040 Total out migration: 878 2039 Total out migration: 872 2038 Total out migration: 867 2037 Total out migration: 861 2036 Total out migration: 855 2035 Total out migration: 849 2034 Total out migration: 843 2033 Total out migration: 838 2032 Total out migration: 833 2031 Total out migration: 828 2030 Total out migration: 824 2029 Total out migration: 819 2028 Total out migration: 813 2027 Total out migration: 808 2026 Total out migration: 803 2025 Total out migration: 796 2024 Total out migration: 788 2023 Total out migration: 782 2022 Total out migration: 776 2021 Total out migration: 772 2020 Total out migration: 768 2019 Total out migration: 764 2018 Total out migration: 757 2017 Total out migration: 747 2016 Total out migration: 740 2015 Total out migration: 734 2014 Total out migration: 731 2043 Total in migration: 992 2042 Total in migration: 985 2041 Total in migration: 980 2040 Total in migration: 967 2039 Total in migration: 964 2038 Total in migration: 959 2037 Total in migration: 952 2036 Total in migration: 951 2035 Total in migration: 937 2034 Total in migration: 934 2033 Total in migration: 923 2032 Total in migration: 912 2031 Total in migration: 906 2030 Total in migration: 893 2029 Total in migration: 897 2028 Total in migration: 895 2027 Total in migration: 890 2026 Total in migration: 881 2025 Total in migration: 893 2024 Total in migration: 893 2023 Total in migration: 880 2022 Total in migration: 865 2021 Total in migration: 842 2020 Total in migration: 838 2019 Total in migration: 828 2018 Total in migration: 853 2017 Total in migration: 880 2016 Total in migration: 846 2015 Total in migration: 830 2014 Total in migration: 835
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
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