Net migration by age
The age group with the highest net migration in Upper Plain is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2023 to 2028.
Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.
Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.
Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Wairarapa depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.
Major migration assumptions:
- This area will experience an increase in residential development from 2024 therefore the sheer numbers of net migration gain will increase too
- There will be a gain of young and established families aged 25-44 years with children aged 0-14 years as new homeowners take the opportunity to purchase a first home in a growth area
- Slight gain of older residents aged 60-79 years to the area who may be downsizing from elsewhere in the region or are purchasing a home to be closer to medical and aged care
- Loss of young adults aged 17-24 years who leave the area for education and employment opportunities elsewhere