Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Wairarapa

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for the Wairarapa indicate a 3.1% increase in population under working age, a 47.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 9.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Wairarapa is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wairarapa - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2,7406.52,6965.52,9245.3+184
5 to 9 2,8616.72,9436.03,2285.9+367
10 to 14 2,8306.73,0516.23,3216.0+491
15 to 19 2,7206.42,8585.82,9795.4+259
20 to 24 2,0734.92,2254.52,3404.3+266
25 to 29 1,7604.22,0534.22,2554.1+495
30 to 34 1,9724.72,2604.62,4924.5+519
35 to 39 2,2625.32,5955.32,8775.2+615
40 to 44 2,8656.82,9396.03,2956.0+430
45 to 49 2,9096.93,1626.53,5636.5+654
50 to 54 3,2137.63,3036.83,7086.7+495
55 to 59 3,1387.43,4787.13,7746.9+636
60 to 64 2,9406.93,4077.03,7766.9+836
65 to 69 2,6736.33,3816.93,6666.7+993
70 to 74 1,9894.73,0176.23,4386.2+1,449
75 to 79 1,4203.32,4425.02,9645.4+1,544
80 to 84 1,0402.51,7463.62,3544.3+1,314
85 and over9862.31,3752.82,0523.7+1,065
Total persons42,390100.048,931100.055,005100.0+12,615

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 2,052 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 2,354 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 2,964 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 3,438 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 3,666 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 3,776 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 3,774 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 3,708 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 3,563 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 3,295 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 2,877 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 2,492 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 2,255 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 2,340 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 2,979 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 3,321 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 3,228 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 2,924 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 1,375 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 1,746 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 2,442 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 3,017 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 3,381 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 3,407 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 3,478 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 3,303 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 3,162 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 2,939 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 2,595 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 2,260 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 2,053 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 2,225 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 2,858 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 3,051 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 2,943 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 2,696 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 986 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 1,040 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 1,420 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 1,989 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 2,673 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 2,940 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 3,138 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 3,213 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 2,909 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 2,865 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 2,262 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 1,972 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 1,760 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 2,073 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 2,720 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 2,830 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 2,861 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 2,740
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 676 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 608 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 522 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 421 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 285 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 369 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 296 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 405 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 401 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 357 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 282 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 231 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 202 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 115 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 122 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 271 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 285 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 228 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 389 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 706 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 1,022 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 1,028 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 708 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 467 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 341 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 90 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 253 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 74 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 333 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 288 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 293 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 151 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 138 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 221 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 82 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -44
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in the Wairarapa was ages 50 to 54 , which accounted for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74 , which is expected to increase by 1,028 and account for 6.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 3,478 persons.

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