Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Greytown

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Greytown indicate a 12.5% increase in population under working age, a 39.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 24.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Wairarapa is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Greytown - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41415.81565.11704.8+30
5 to 91576.41745.61905.3+33
10 to 141506.21745.71945.4+43
15 to 191245.11404.61574.4+32
20 to 24763.1953.11083.0+32
25 to 29682.8953.11042.9+36
30 to 34943.91213.91303.6+36
35 to 391134.61454.71584.4+45
40 to 441556.41735.61915.3+36
45 to 491696.92046.72306.4+60
50 to 541917.92197.12537.1+61
55 to 591747.12427.92727.6+98
60 to 641887.72448.02837.9+95
65 to 691988.12447.92817.8+83
70 to 741556.42066.72657.4+110
75 to 791074.41775.82306.4+123
80 to 84873.61374.41795.0+92
85 and over903.71264.11865.2+97
Total persons2,438100.03,073100.03,581100.0+1,142

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 186 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 179 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 230 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 265 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 281 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 283 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 272 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 253 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 230 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 191 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 158 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 130 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 104 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 108 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 157 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 194 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 190 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 170 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 126 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 137 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 177 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 206 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 244 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 244 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 242 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 219 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 204 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 173 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 145 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 121 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 95 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 95 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 140 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 174 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 174 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 156 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 90 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 87 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 107 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 155 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 198 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 188 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 174 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 191 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 169 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 155 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 113 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 94 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 68 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 76 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 124 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 150 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 157 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 141
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 60 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 43 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 53 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 59 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 37 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 39 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 30 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 33 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 25 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 18 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 9 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 9 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 16 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 20 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 17 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 14 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 37 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 49 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 70 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 51 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 46 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 56 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 68 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 28 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 35 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 18 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 32 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 27 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 26 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 19 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 16 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 24 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 16 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 16
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Greytown was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 70 and account for 5.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 244 persons.

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