Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Carterton North

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Carterton North indicate a 7.2% increase in population under working age, a 56.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 10.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Wairarapa is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Carterton North - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41245.61425.31555.3+32
5 to 91677.51616.01776.0+10
10 to 141396.21585.91695.7+31
15 to 191205.41365.11424.8+22
20 to 241004.51114.11103.7+10
25 to 29823.7923.41033.5+21
30 to 34964.31053.91174.0+21
35 to 391044.71284.71404.7+35
40 to 441577.11445.41555.3-2
45 to 491546.91505.61575.3+3
50 to 541406.31485.51585.4+18
55 to 591275.71706.31715.8+44
60 to 641657.41957.22026.8+37
65 to 691908.62168.02307.8+40
70 to 741366.12168.02478.4+112
75 to 791155.22007.42277.7+112
80 to 84733.31445.31725.8+99
85 and over311.4762.81184.0+86
Total persons2,221100.02,692100.02,951100.0+730

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 118 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 172 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 227 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 247 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 230 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 202 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 171 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 158 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 157 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 155 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 140 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 117 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 103 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 110 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 142 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 169 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 177 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 155 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 76 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 144 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 200 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 216 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 216 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 195 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 170 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 148 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 150 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 144 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 128 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 105 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 92 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 111 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 136 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 158 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 161 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 142 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 31 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 73 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 115 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 136 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 190 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 165 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 127 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 140 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 154 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 157 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 104 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 96 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 82 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 100 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 120 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 139 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 167 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 124
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 42 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 29 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 27 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 32 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 14 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 7 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 0 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 10 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 7 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 11 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 12 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 12 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 11 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 12 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 16 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 44 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 70 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 85 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 80 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 26 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 30 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 43 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 8 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -4 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -13 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 23 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 9 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 10 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 11 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 16 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 19 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -6 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 18
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Carterton North was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 8.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 85 and account for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 216 persons.

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