Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Mount Holdsworth - Waingawa

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Mount Holdsworth - Waingawa indicate a 9.9% decrease in population under working age, a 110.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.1% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Wairarapa is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mount Holdsworth - Waingawa - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4945.4944.81044.7+10
5 to 91146.5985.01115.0-3
10 to 141156.6995.11125.1-3
15 to 1918410.61588.11667.5-18
20 to 24613.5814.1813.7+20
25 to 29613.5613.1632.8+2
30 to 34573.2643.3683.1+12
35 to 39955.4824.2964.3+1
40 to 441538.81206.21376.2-16
45 to 491498.51487.61707.7+22
50 to 541649.41608.21768.0+12
55 to 591478.51728.81737.8+26
60 to 641347.71588.11727.8+38
65 to 691156.61568.01677.5+52
70 to 74573.21266.51506.8+93
75 to 79251.4924.71165.2+91
80 to 84181.0572.9863.9+68
85 and over00.0211.1642.9+64
Total persons1,741100.01,946100.02,212100.0+471

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 64 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 86 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 116 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 150 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 167 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 172 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 173 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 176 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 170 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 137 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 96 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 68 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 63 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 81 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 166 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 112 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 111 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 104 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 21 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 57 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 92 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 126 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 156 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 158 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 172 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 160 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 148 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 120 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 82 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 64 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 61 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 81 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 158 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 99 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 98 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 94 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 0 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 18 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 25 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 57 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 115 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 134 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 147 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 164 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 149 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 153 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 95 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 57 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 61 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 61 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 184 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 115 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 114 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 94
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 43 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 29 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 24 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 24 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 11 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 14 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 2 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 16 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 23 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 17 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 14 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 4 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 2 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 0 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 8 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 9 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 21 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 39 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 67 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 69 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 41 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 24 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 24 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -4 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -1 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -32 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -13 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 8 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 0 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 20 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -26 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -16 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -16 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 1
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Mount Holdsworth - Waingawa was ages 15 to 19, which accounted for 10.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 69 and account for 6.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 172 persons.

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