Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Te Wharau

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Te Wharau indicate a 9.0% decrease in population under working age, a 59.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Wairarapa is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Te Wharau - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41487.51255.71565.8+8
5 to 91487.51396.31756.5+26
10 to 141497.51416.41726.4+23
15 to 191045.21225.51335.0+29
20 to 24522.6823.7893.3+37
25 to 29552.8743.3833.1+28
30 to 34995.0964.41204.5+22
35 to 391346.81245.61585.9+23
40 to 441266.41416.41786.7+52
45 to 491608.11627.31977.4+37
50 to 541628.21717.72017.5+39
55 to 591698.61627.31987.4+28
60 to 641527.71627.31877.0+34
65 to 691356.81456.61696.3+35
70 to 74733.71295.81425.3+69
75 to 79351.81004.51194.4+84
80 to 84160.8763.4963.6+80
85 and over623.1612.81003.7+38
Total persons1,979100.02,213100.02,672100.0+692

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 100 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 96 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 119 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 142 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 169 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 187 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 198 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 201 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 197 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 178 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 158 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 120 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 83 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 89 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 133 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 172 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 175 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 156 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 61 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 76 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 100 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 129 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 145 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 162 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 162 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 171 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 162 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 141 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 124 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 96 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 74 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 82 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 122 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 141 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 139 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 125 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 62 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 16 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 35 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 73 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 135 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 152 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 169 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 162 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 160 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 126 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 134 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 99 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 55 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 52 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 104 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 149 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 148 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 148
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 39 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 20 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 19 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 24 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 25 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 35 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 30 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 35 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 38 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 34 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 24 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 9 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 11 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 31 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 35 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 31 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: -1 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 60 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 65 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 56 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 11 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 9 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -7 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 9 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 2 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 14 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -11 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: -2 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 19 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 31 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 18 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -7 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -9 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -23
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Te Wharau was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 8.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 65 and account for 4.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 50 to 54 years, with a total of 171 persons.

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