Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Homebush - Te Ore Ore - Whareama

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Homebush - Te Ore Ore - Whareama indicate a 10.5% decrease in population under working age, a 79.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Wairarapa is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Homebush - Te Ore Ore - Whareama - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41155.01154.51204.3+5
5 to 91506.51275.01374.9-13
10 to 141556.71345.21455.2-10
15 to 191315.61134.41164.2-15
20 to 24893.9973.8913.3+1
25 to 29964.2973.81013.6+4
30 to 34954.11034.01134.1+17
35 to 391064.61194.71334.8+27
40 to 441747.51606.31766.4+2
45 to 491928.31817.11977.1+5
50 to 541998.62058.02197.9+20
55 to 5926111.32359.22418.7-20
60 to 641958.42299.02348.4+39
65 to 691908.22088.12187.8+27
70 to 74803.51947.61896.8+109
75 to 79462.01275.01575.6+111
80 to 84251.1853.31124.0+87
85 and over150.6261.0742.7+60
Total persons2,314100.02,554100.02,772100.0+457

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 74 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 112 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 157 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 189 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 218 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 234 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 241 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 219 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 197 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 176 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 133 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 113 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 101 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 91 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 116 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 145 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 137 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 120 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 26 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 85 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 127 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 194 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 208 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 229 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 235 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 205 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 181 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 160 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 119 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 103 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 97 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 97 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 113 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 134 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 127 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 115 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 15 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 25 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 46 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 80 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 190 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 195 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 261 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 199 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 192 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 174 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 106 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 95 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 96 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 89 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 131 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 155 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 150 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 115
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 48 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 27 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 30 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: -4 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 10 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 14 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 16 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 17 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 14 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 10 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 3 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: -7 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 3 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 11 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 10 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 12 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 60 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 81 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 113 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 18 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 34 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -26 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 5 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -10 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -15 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 13 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 8 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 1 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 8 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -18 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -21 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -23 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 0
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Homebush - Te Ore Ore - Whareama was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 11.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 113 and account for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 235 persons.

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