Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Lansdowne

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Lansdowne indicate a 7.6% increase in population under working age, a 28.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Wairarapa is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Lansdowne - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42606.42585.82925.7+32
5 to 92405.92796.33186.3+78
10 to 142506.22706.13066.0+56
15 to 192115.22255.12504.9+39
20 to 242085.11874.22144.2+6
25 to 292025.02064.72394.7+37
30 to 342125.22315.22695.3+57
35 to 392035.02445.52795.5+76
40 to 442395.92495.62855.6+47
45 to 492125.22335.32785.5+67
50 to 542816.92455.62915.7+10
55 to 592636.52595.92895.7+26
60 to 642897.12666.03046.0+15
65 to 692506.23016.83156.2+65
70 to 742305.72856.53156.2+84
75 to 791824.52575.82805.5+98
80 to 841393.41954.42524.9+113
85 and over1794.42255.13126.1+133
Total persons4,050100.04,416100.05,088100.0+1,038

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 312 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 252 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 280 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 315 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 315 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 304 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 289 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 291 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 278 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 285 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 279 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 269 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 239 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 214 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 250 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 306 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 318 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 292 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 225 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 195 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 257 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 285 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 301 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 266 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 259 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 245 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 233 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 249 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 244 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 231 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 206 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 187 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 225 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 270 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 279 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 258 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 179 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 139 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 182 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 230 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 250 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 289 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 263 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 281 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 212 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 239 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 203 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 212 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 202 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 208 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 211 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 250 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 240 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 260
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 87 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 57 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 23 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 29 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 38 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 31 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 45 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 45 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 37 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 35 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 39 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 32 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 27 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 25 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 35 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 39 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 35 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 46 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 56 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 75 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 55 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 51 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: -23 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -5 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -35 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 22 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 10 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 41 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 18 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 4 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -21 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 14 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 21 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 39 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -3
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Lansdowne was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 75 and account for 5.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 301 persons.

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