Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Masterton West

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Masterton West indicate a 7.2% increase in population under working age, a 30.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Wairarapa is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Masterton West - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42596.52475.82415.5-18
5 to 92295.82646.22595.9+30
10 to 143137.93488.13457.9+32
15 to 193408.63538.33488.0+8
20 to 242706.82355.52445.6-26
25 to 291714.31984.62064.7+35
30 to 341754.41984.62014.6+26
35 to 391914.82295.32265.2+35
40 to 442586.52535.92575.90
45 to 492586.52636.22666.1+8
50 to 542736.92435.72515.8-21
55 to 592787.02535.92515.7-27
60 to 642345.92445.72475.7+13
65 to 691604.02415.62295.2+69
70 to 741754.42365.52315.3+56
75 to 791172.91924.52104.8+93
80 to 841203.01393.31894.3+70
85 and over1563.91413.31663.8+9
Total persons3,976100.04,278100.04,369100.0+393

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 166 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 189 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 210 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 231 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 229 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 247 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 251 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 251 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 266 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 257 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 226 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 201 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 206 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 244 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 348 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 345 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 259 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 241 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 141 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 139 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 192 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 236 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 241 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 244 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 253 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 243 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 263 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 253 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 229 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 198 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 198 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 235 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 353 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 348 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 264 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 247 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 156 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 120 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 117 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 175 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 160 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 234 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 278 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 273 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 258 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 258 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 191 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 175 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 171 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 270 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 340 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 313 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 229 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 259
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 25 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 50 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 19 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: -5 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -12 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 3 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -2 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 9 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 3 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 4 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 3 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 8 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 9 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -6 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -5 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -6 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: -15 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 20 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 75 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 61 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 81 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 11 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -25 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -30 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 5 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -4 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 38 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 24 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 27 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -35 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 13 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 35 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 35 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -13
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Masterton West was ages 15 to 19, which accounted for 8.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69, which is expected to increase by 81 and account for 5.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 353 persons.

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