Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Opaki - Fernridge

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Opaki - Fernridge indicate a 31.3% increase in population under working age, a 129.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 22.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Wairarapa is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Opaki - Fernridge - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4654.4864.21284.3+63
5 to 9855.81225.91826.1+97
10 to 141157.81406.82056.9+91
15 to 19956.51125.51595.3+63
20 to 24594.1693.41003.3+40
25 to 29453.1623.0893.0+43
30 to 34453.1633.1913.1+46
35 to 39503.4763.71123.8+62
40 to 44996.81075.21675.6+68
45 to 491318.91436.92157.2+84
50 to 5414910.21698.22538.5+104
55 to 5915010.21939.42678.9+117
60 to 641459.91919.32628.8+118
65 to 691057.21758.52347.8+129
70 to 74755.11356.51906.3+115
75 to 79352.41025.01505.0+115
80 to 84151.0542.6993.3+84
85 and over00.0623.0903.0+90
Total persons1,465100.02,061100.02,993100.0+1,529

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 90 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 99 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 150 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 190 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 234 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 262 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 267 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 253 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 215 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 167 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 112 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 91 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 89 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 100 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 159 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 205 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 182 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 128 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 62 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 54 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 102 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 135 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 175 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 191 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 193 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 169 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 143 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 107 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 76 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 63 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 62 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 69 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 112 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 140 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 122 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 86 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 0 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 15 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 35 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 75 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 105 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 145 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 150 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 149 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 131 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 99 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 50 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 45 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 45 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 59 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 95 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 115 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 85 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 65
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 28 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 44 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 48 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 55 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 59 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 71 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 74 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 84 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 72 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 60 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 37 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 28 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 27 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 30 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 46 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 66 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 60 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 42 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 62 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 39 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 67 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 60 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 70 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 47 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 43 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 20 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 12 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 8 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 25 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 18 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 16 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 10 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 17 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 25 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 37 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 20
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Opaki - Fernridge was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 10.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69, which is expected to increase by 70 and account for 8.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 193 persons.

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