Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Solway North

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Solway North indicate a 5.2% increase in population under working age, a 20.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Wairarapa is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Solway North - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41596.51525.81495.5-10
5 to 91496.11626.11615.9+12
10 to 141586.51766.71756.4+17
15 to 191897.81726.51706.3-19
20 to 241375.61465.51495.5+11
25 to 291305.31335.01385.1+7
30 to 341094.51345.11334.9+24
35 to 391305.31365.21385.1+9
40 to 441486.11465.51475.4-1
45 to 491405.71555.91605.9+21
50 to 541787.31736.51696.2-8
55 to 591596.51766.71716.3+13
60 to 641385.71656.21716.3+32
65 to 691395.71796.81746.4+35
70 to 741295.31576.01666.1+37
75 to 791204.91274.81485.4+27
80 to 84793.2923.51204.4+42
85 and over471.9622.3762.8+28
Total persons2,438100.02,644100.02,713100.0+276

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 76 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 120 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 148 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 166 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 174 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 171 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 171 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 169 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 160 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 147 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 138 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 133 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 138 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 149 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 170 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 175 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 161 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 149 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 62 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 92 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 127 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 157 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 179 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 165 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 176 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 173 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 155 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 146 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 136 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 134 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 133 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 146 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 172 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 176 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 162 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 152 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 47 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 79 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 120 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 129 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 139 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 138 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 159 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 178 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 140 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 148 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 130 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 109 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 130 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 137 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 189 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 158 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 149 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 159
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 14 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 28 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 20 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 9 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -5 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -5 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 1 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 2 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 4 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 3 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -2 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -2 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 15 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 14 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 7 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 28 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 40 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 26 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 17 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -5 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 15 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -2 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 7 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 25 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 3 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 8 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -17 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 18 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 14 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -6
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Solway North was ages 15 to 19, which accounted for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69, which is expected to increase by 40 and account for 6.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 179 persons.

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