Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Solway South

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Solway South indicate a 17.2% increase in population under working age, a 29.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 32.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Wairarapa is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Solway South - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42197.12456.22155.4-5
5 to 92297.42676.72325.9+3
10 to 142197.12706.82366.0+17
15 to 191906.12446.12225.6+31
20 to 242076.72195.52065.2-1
25 to 291715.52235.62045.1+32
30 to 342006.42516.32195.5+20
35 to 391605.22787.02386.0+78
40 to 441986.42877.22616.6+63
45 to 492116.82766.92726.9+62
50 to 542086.72516.32787.0+70
55 to 591896.12506.32716.8+82
60 to 641595.12315.82466.2+87
65 to 691404.52125.32225.6+83
70 to 741304.21814.62075.2+78
75 to 791013.31343.41754.4+74
80 to 84892.9882.21273.2+38
85 and over732.4741.91303.3+57
Total persons3,094100.03,981100.03,960100.0+867

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 130 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 127 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 175 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 207 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 222 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 246 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 271 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 278 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 272 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 261 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 238 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 219 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 204 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 206 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 222 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 236 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 232 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 215 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 74 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 88 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 134 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 181 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 212 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 231 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 250 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 251 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 276 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 287 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 278 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 251 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 223 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 219 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 244 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 270 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 267 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 245 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 73 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 89 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 101 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 130 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 140 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 159 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 189 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 208 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 211 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 198 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 160 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 200 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 171 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 207 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 190 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 219 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 229 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 219
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 56 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 39 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 41 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 26 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 10 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 15 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 21 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 27 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: -4 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: -26 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: -40 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: -31 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: -20 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: -13 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -23 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -34 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -35 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -31 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 1 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 0 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 33 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 52 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 72 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 72 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 60 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 43 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 65 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 88 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 118 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 51 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 52 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 12 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 54 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 51 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 38 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 26
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Solway South was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 118 and account for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 287 persons.

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