Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Upper Plain

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Upper Plain indicate a 0.7% decrease in population under working age, a 23.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 17.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Wairarapa is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Upper Plain - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4956.7915.51635.6+67
5 to 91007.1955.81715.9+71
10 to 14805.6875.31555.3+75
15 to 19815.7774.71244.3+43
20 to 24755.2744.51123.9+38
25 to 29815.7885.41525.2+71
30 to 34705.0975.91766.0+106
35 to 39664.61096.72037.0+138
40 to 44856.01116.82187.5+133
45 to 49664.6935.72067.1+140
50 to 54856.0905.51866.4+101
55 to 59956.7945.71705.8+75
60 to 64805.6885.41575.4+77
65 to 69906.41036.31625.6+72
70 to 74755.31056.41625.6+87
75 to 79614.3955.81555.3+94
80 to 84654.6774.71264.3+62
85 and over694.9664.01133.9+44
Total persons1,420100.01,640100.02,914100.0+1,494

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 113 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 126 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 155 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 162 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 162 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 157 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 170 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 186 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 206 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 218 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 203 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 176 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 152 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 112 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 124 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 155 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 171 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 163 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 66 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 77 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 95 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 105 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 103 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 88 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 94 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 90 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 93 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 111 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 109 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 97 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 88 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 74 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 77 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 87 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 95 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 91 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 69 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 65 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 61 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 75 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 90 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 80 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 95 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 85 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 66 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 85 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 66 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 70 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 81 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 75 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 81 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 80 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 100 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 95
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 47 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 50 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 59 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 57 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 59 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 69 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 76 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 97 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 113 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 107 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 94 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 79 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 64 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 39 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 47 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 69 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 76 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 72 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: -3 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 12 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 34 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 30 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 13 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 8 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -1 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 5 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 27 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 26 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 44 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 27 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 7 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -1 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -4 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 7 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -5 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -5
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Upper Plain was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 44 and account for 6.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 111 persons.

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