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Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast

Masterton District

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Masterton District indicate a 4.1% increase in population under working age, a 40.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 8.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Masterton District is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Masterton District - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,5406.41,5195.51,6325.3+92
5 to 91,6106.71,6846.21,8366.0+226
10 to 141,6706.91,8146.61,9636.4+293
15 to 191,6306.81,6866.21,7595.7+129
20 to 241,3235.51,3524.91,4234.6+100
25 to 291,1204.61,2674.61,3964.5+276
30 to 341,1824.91,3494.91,4864.8+303
35 to 391,2025.01,4835.41,6415.3+439
40 to 441,5606.51,6486.01,8596.0+299
45 to 491,5626.51,7196.31,9726.4+410
50 to 541,7627.31,7686.52,0436.6+281
55 to 591,7877.41,8706.82,0676.7+280
60 to 641,5806.61,7956.62,0176.5+437
65 to 691,3505.61,7806.51,9256.2+575
70 to 741,1004.61,6265.91,8185.9+718
75 to 798403.51,3004.81,5835.1+743
80 to 846402.79153.31,2744.1+634
85 and over6422.77872.91,1473.7+505
Total persons24,100100.027,364100.030,838100.0+6,737
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Masterton District was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 526 and account for 5.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 1,870 persons.

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