Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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South Wairarapa District

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for South Wairarapa District indicate a 2.4% increase in population under working age, a 46.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Wairarapa is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
South Wairarapa District - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46506.66355.66885.4+38
5 to 96706.86775.97385.8+67
10 to 146006.16555.77145.6+114
15 to 195305.45745.05984.7+68
20 to 244104.24534.04813.8+71
25 to 293503.64313.84723.7+122
30 to 344204.35024.45474.3+127
35 to 395705.86085.36635.2+93
40 to 447057.26986.17696.0+64
45 to 497207.37806.88576.7+137
50 to 547948.18407.49097.1+115
55 to 597207.38837.79337.3+212
60 to 647407.68687.69487.4+209
65 to 697107.28427.49167.2+206
70 to 744905.06936.18306.5+340
75 to 793203.35634.96905.4+370
80 to 842102.14083.65284.1+318
85 and over1911.93132.74533.6+262
Total persons9,800100.011,421100.012,733100.0+2,933

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 453 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 528 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 690 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 830 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 916 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 948 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 933 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 909 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 857 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 769 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 663 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 547 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 472 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 481 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 598 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 714 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 738 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 688 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 313 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 408 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 563 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 693 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 842 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 868 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 883 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 840 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 780 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 698 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 608 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 502 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 431 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 453 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 574 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 655 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 677 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 635 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 191 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 210 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 320 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 490 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 710 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 740 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 720 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 794 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 720 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 705 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 570 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 420 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 350 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 410 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 530 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 600 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 670 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 650
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 140 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 120 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 126 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 137 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 75 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 80 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 50 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 69 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 77 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 72 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 56 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 45 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 41 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 28 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 24 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 59 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 61 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 52 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 122 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 198 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 243 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 203 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 132 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 128 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 163 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 46 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 60 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -7 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 38 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 82 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 80 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 43 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 44 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 55 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 6 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -15
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in South Wairarapa District was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 243 and account for 4.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 883 persons.

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