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Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast

Wairarapa Region

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in the Wairarapa Region is forecast to grow from 19,941 in 2013 to 23,127 in 2031, with the average household size falling from 2.39 to 2.33 by 2031.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the Wairarapa Region. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Wairarapa RegionForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population42,39045,06247,04848,93150,71852,77555,005
Change in population (5yrs)--2,6711,9861,8841,7872,0572,230
Average annual change--1.23%0.87%0.79%0.72%0.80%0.83%
Households17,45918,63519,64720,66121,66922,67823,702
Average household size2.392.382.362.332.302.292.28
Population in non private dwellings685674739813853913933
Dwellings19,94120,90522,00723,12724,23825,36926,506
Dwelling occupancy rate87.5589.1489.2889.3489.4089.3989.42
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of the Wairarapa Region was estimated to be 42,390 people. It is expected to increase by over 6,541 people to 48,931 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 0.96%. This is based on an increase of over 3,202 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.39 to 2.33 by 2028.

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