Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Carterton South

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the Wairarapa. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Carterton SouthForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population2,5482,8793,1323,2963,3703,4733,600
Change in population (5yrs)--33125316474103127
Average annual change--2.47%1.70%1.02%0.45%0.60%0.72%
Households1,0601,2111,3291,4241,4991,5741,648
Average household size2.392.362.332.292.222.182.16
Population in non private dwellings15153040404040
Dwellings1,1021,2481,3691,4661,5411,6161,691
Dwelling occupancy rate96.1997.0497.0897.1497.2797.4097.46

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.16 2042 Average household size: 2.16 2041 Average household size: 2.17 2040 Average household size: 2.17 2039 Average household size: 2.18 2038 Average household size: 2.18 2037 Average household size: 2.19 2036 Average household size: 2.19 2035 Average household size: 2.20 2034 Average household size: 2.21 2033 Average household size: 2.22 2032 Average household size: 2.23 2031 Average household size: 2.24 2030 Average household size: 2.26 2029 Average household size: 2.27 2028 Average household size: 2.28 2027 Average household size: 2.30 2026 Average household size: 2.31 2025 Average household size: 2.32 2024 Average household size: 2.33 2023 Average household size: 2.33 2022 Average household size: 2.34 2021 Average household size: 2.35 2020 Average household size: 2.35 2019 Average household size: 2.36 2018 Average household size: 2.37 2017 Average household size: 2.37 2016 Average household size: 2.37 2015 Average household size: 2.38 2014 Average household size: 2.38 2013 Average household size: 2.39 2043 Average household size: 2.16 2042 Average household size: 2.16 2041 Average household size: 2.17 2040 Average household size: 2.17 2039 Average household size: 2.18 2038 Average household size: 2.18 2037 Average household size: 2.19 2036 Average household size: 2.19 2035 Average household size: 2.20 2034 Average household size: 2.21 2033 Average household size: 2.22 2032 Average household size: 2.23 2031 Average household size: 2.24 2030 Average household size: 2.26 2029 Average household size: 2.27 2028 Average household size: 2.28 2027 Average household size: 2.30 2026 Average household size: 2.31 2025 Average household size: 2.32 2024 Average household size: 2.33 2023 Average household size: 2.33 2022 Average household size: 2.34 2021 Average household size: 2.35 2020 Average household size: 2.35 2019 Average household size: 2.36 2018 Average household size: 2.37 2017 Average household size: 2.37 2016 Average household size: 2.37 2015 Average household size: 2.38 2014 Average household size: 2.38 2043 Households: 1,649 2042 Households: 1,634 2041 Households: 1,619 2040 Households: 1,604 2039 Households: 1,589 2038 Households: 1,574 2037 Households: 1,559 2036 Households: 1,544 2035 Households: 1,529 2034 Households: 1,514 2033 Households: 1,499 2032 Households: 1,485 2031 Households: 1,470 2030 Households: 1,455 2029 Households: 1,440 2028 Households: 1,425 2027 Households: 1,410 2026 Households: 1,393 2025 Households: 1,377 2024 Households: 1,357 2023 Households: 1,329 2022 Households: 1,302 2021 Households: 1,276 2020 Households: 1,257 2019 Households: 1,231 2018 Households: 1,211 2017 Households: 1,181 2016 Households: 1,149 2015 Households: 1,117 2014 Households: 1,084 2013 Households: 1,061 2043 Total population: 3,600 2042 Total population: 3,572 2041 Total population: 3,546 2040 Total population: 3,521 2039 Total population: 3,497 2038 Total population: 3,473 2037 Total population: 3,450 2036 Total population: 3,429 2035 Total population: 3,407 2034 Total population: 3,388 2033 Total population: 3,370 2032 Total population: 3,352 2031 Total population: 3,338 2030 Total population: 3,323 2029 Total population: 3,309 2028 Total population: 3,296 2027 Total population: 3,272 2026 Total population: 3,248 2025 Total population: 3,221 2024 Total population: 3,186 2023 Total population: 3,132 2022 Total population: 3,061 2021 Total population: 3,009 2020 Total population: 2,975 2019 Total population: 2,921 2018 Total population: 2,879 2017 Total population: 2,811 2016 Total population: 2,738 2015 Total population: 2,669 2014 Total population: 2,596 2013 Total population: 2,548
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
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