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Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast

Te Wharau

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Te Wharau is forecast to grow from 842 in 2013 to 1,204 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.56 to 2.39 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Te Wharau. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Te WharauForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population1,9792,0442,0892,2132,3472,4982,672
Change in population (5yrs)--6545124134150174
Average annual change--0.64%0.43%1.16%1.19%1.25%1.35%
Households7727998369049741,0441,115
Average household size2.562.552.492.442.412.392.39
Population in non private dwellings3333333
Dwellings8428689049791,0541,1291,204
Dwelling occupancy rate91.6992.0592.4892.3492.4192.4792.61
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Te Wharau was estimated to be 1,979 people. It is expected to increase by over 234 people to 2,213 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 0.75%. This is based on an increase of over 132 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.56 to 2.44 by 2028.

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