Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Carterton District Council

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the Wairarapa. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Carterton District CouncilForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population8,4909,2149,72110,14710,47310,91411,435
Change in population (5yrs)--725506426326441520
Average annual change--1.65%1.08%0.86%0.63%0.83%0.94%
Households3,4783,8164,1014,3614,5924,8395,092
Average household size2.412.382.342.292.252.222.21
Population in non private dwellings122122137147147157157
Dwellings3,7064,0344,3274,6074,8545,1135,384
Dwelling occupancy rate93.8594.6094.7894.6694.6094.6494.58

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.22 2042 Average household size: 2.22 2041 Average household size: 2.22 2040 Average household size: 2.22 2039 Average household size: 2.22 2038 Average household size: 2.22 2037 Average household size: 2.23 2036 Average household size: 2.23 2035 Average household size: 2.24 2034 Average household size: 2.24 2033 Average household size: 2.25 2032 Average household size: 2.25 2031 Average household size: 2.26 2030 Average household size: 2.27 2029 Average household size: 2.28 2028 Average household size: 2.29 2027 Average household size: 2.30 2026 Average household size: 2.31 2025 Average household size: 2.32 2024 Average household size: 2.33 2023 Average household size: 2.34 2022 Average household size: 2.35 2021 Average household size: 2.36 2020 Average household size: 2.37 2019 Average household size: 2.38 2018 Average household size: 2.38 2017 Average household size: 2.39 2016 Average household size: 2.40 2015 Average household size: 2.41 2014 Average household size: 2.42 2013 Average household size: 2.40 2043 Average household size: 2.22 2042 Average household size: 2.22 2041 Average household size: 2.22 2040 Average household size: 2.22 2039 Average household size: 2.22 2038 Average household size: 2.22 2037 Average household size: 2.23 2036 Average household size: 2.23 2035 Average household size: 2.24 2034 Average household size: 2.24 2033 Average household size: 2.25 2032 Average household size: 2.25 2031 Average household size: 2.26 2030 Average household size: 2.27 2029 Average household size: 2.28 2028 Average household size: 2.29 2027 Average household size: 2.30 2026 Average household size: 2.31 2025 Average household size: 2.32 2024 Average household size: 2.33 2023 Average household size: 2.34 2022 Average household size: 2.35 2021 Average household size: 2.36 2020 Average household size: 2.37 2019 Average household size: 2.38 2018 Average household size: 2.38 2017 Average household size: 2.39 2016 Average household size: 2.40 2015 Average household size: 2.41 2014 Average household size: 2.42 2043 Households: 5,091 2042 Households: 5,039 2041 Households: 4,988 2040 Households: 4,936 2039 Households: 4,886 2038 Households: 4,837 2037 Households: 4,787 2036 Households: 4,737 2035 Households: 4,689 2034 Households: 4,641 2033 Households: 4,594 2032 Households: 4,546 2031 Households: 4,500 2030 Households: 4,454 2029 Households: 4,408 2028 Households: 4,362 2027 Households: 4,316 2026 Households: 4,268 2025 Households: 4,217 2024 Households: 4,162 2023 Households: 4,098 2022 Households: 4,039 2021 Households: 3,982 2020 Households: 3,929 2019 Households: 3,869 2018 Households: 3,815 2017 Households: 3,746 2016 Households: 3,680 2015 Households: 3,614 2014 Households: 3,545 2013 Households: 3,481 2043 Total population: 11,435 2042 Total population: 11,325 2041 Total population: 11,220 2040 Total population: 11,117 2039 Total population: 11,017 2038 Total population: 10,914 2037 Total population: 10,810 2036 Total population: 10,718 2035 Total population: 10,634 2034 Total population: 10,550 2033 Total population: 10,473 2032 Total population: 10,396 2031 Total population: 10,335 2030 Total population: 10,271 2029 Total population: 10,209 2028 Total population: 10,147 2027 Total population: 10,082 2026 Total population: 10,014 2025 Total population: 9,930 2024 Total population: 9,838 2023 Total population: 9,721 2022 Total population: 9,606 2021 Total population: 9,512 2020 Total population: 9,422 2019 Total population: 9,314 2018 Total population: 9,214 2017 Total population: 9,087 2016 Total population: 8,961 2015 Total population: 8,842 2014 Total population: 8,708 2013 Total population: 8,490
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
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