Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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South Wairarapa District

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the Wairarapa. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
South Wairarapa DistrictForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population9,80010,40610,89911,42111,82012,29012,733
Change in population (5yrs)--606493522400470442
Average annual change--1.21%0.93%0.94%0.69%0.78%0.71%
Households4,1064,4434,7134,9695,2065,4265,644
Average household size2.362.332.292.272.252.242.23
Population in non private dwellings1057494118118148148
Dwellings5,2535,5385,8796,2116,5216,8307,122
Dwelling occupancy rate78.1680.2380.1780.0079.8379.4479.25

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.23 2042 Average household size: 2.23 2041 Average household size: 2.23 2040 Average household size: 2.23 2039 Average household size: 2.24 2038 Average household size: 2.24 2037 Average household size: 2.24 2036 Average household size: 2.24 2035 Average household size: 2.24 2034 Average household size: 2.25 2033 Average household size: 2.25 2032 Average household size: 2.25 2031 Average household size: 2.26 2030 Average household size: 2.26 2029 Average household size: 2.27 2028 Average household size: 2.27 2027 Average household size: 2.28 2026 Average household size: 2.28 2025 Average household size: 2.29 2024 Average household size: 2.29 2023 Average household size: 2.29 2022 Average household size: 2.30 2021 Average household size: 2.30 2020 Average household size: 2.31 2019 Average household size: 2.32 2018 Average household size: 2.33 2017 Average household size: 2.33 2016 Average household size: 2.34 2015 Average household size: 2.34 2014 Average household size: 2.35 2013 Average household size: 2.36 2043 Average household size: 2.23 2042 Average household size: 2.23 2041 Average household size: 2.23 2040 Average household size: 2.23 2039 Average household size: 2.24 2038 Average household size: 2.24 2037 Average household size: 2.24 2036 Average household size: 2.24 2035 Average household size: 2.24 2034 Average household size: 2.25 2033 Average household size: 2.25 2032 Average household size: 2.25 2031 Average household size: 2.26 2030 Average household size: 2.26 2029 Average household size: 2.27 2028 Average household size: 2.27 2027 Average household size: 2.28 2026 Average household size: 2.28 2025 Average household size: 2.29 2024 Average household size: 2.29 2023 Average household size: 2.29 2022 Average household size: 2.30 2021 Average household size: 2.30 2020 Average household size: 2.31 2019 Average household size: 2.32 2018 Average household size: 2.33 2017 Average household size: 2.33 2016 Average household size: 2.34 2015 Average household size: 2.34 2014 Average household size: 2.35 2043 Households: 5,643 2042 Households: 5,599 2041 Households: 5,555 2040 Households: 5,511 2039 Households: 5,469 2038 Households: 5,427 2037 Households: 5,384 2036 Households: 5,340 2035 Households: 5,295 2034 Households: 5,251 2033 Households: 5,205 2032 Households: 5,158 2031 Households: 5,113 2030 Households: 5,066 2029 Households: 5,021 2028 Households: 4,972 2027 Households: 4,924 2026 Households: 4,876 2025 Households: 4,826 2024 Households: 4,771 2023 Households: 4,711 2022 Households: 4,652 2021 Households: 4,598 2020 Households: 4,543 2019 Households: 4,491 2018 Households: 4,440 2017 Households: 4,381 2016 Households: 4,307 2015 Households: 4,239 2014 Households: 4,174 2013 Households: 4,108 2043 Total population: 12,733 2042 Total population: 12,642 2041 Total population: 12,551 2040 Total population: 12,460 2039 Total population: 12,377 2038 Total population: 12,290 2037 Total population: 12,204 2036 Total population: 12,086 2035 Total population: 11,994 2034 Total population: 11,909 2033 Total population: 11,820 2032 Total population: 11,736 2031 Total population: 11,657 2030 Total population: 11,578 2029 Total population: 11,505 2028 Total population: 11,421 2027 Total population: 11,332 2026 Total population: 11,216 2025 Total population: 11,127 2024 Total population: 11,017 2023 Total population: 10,899 2022 Total population: 10,787 2021 Total population: 10,662 2020 Total population: 10,576 2019 Total population: 10,489 2018 Total population: 10,406 2017 Total population: 10,292 2016 Total population: 10,171 2015 Total population: 10,045 2014 Total population: 9,927 2013 Total population: 9,800
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
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