Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Wairarapa

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Wairarapa will increase by an average of 219 dwellings per annum to 26,506 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the Wairarapa. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2013 to 2043
WairarapaChange in dwellings between 2013 and 2043
Areanumber%
Wairarapa+6,565+32.9
Featherston+392+32.7
Greytown+647+55.5
Martinborough+499+51.8
Rural+331+17.2
Carterton North+431+41.2
Carterton South+589+53.4
Mount Holdsworth - Waingawa+296+41.3
Te Wharau+362+43.0
Homebush - Te Ore Ore - Whareama+226+13.6
Kopuaranga+134+19.3
Lansdowne+441+24.7
Masterton East+279+18.2
Masterton West+175+10.1
Opaki - Fernridge+617+108.4
Solway North+112+10.6
Solway South+359+27.7
Upper Plain+675+100.9

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2018.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 26,506 2042 Total dwellings: 26,277 2041 Total dwellings: 26,046 2040 Total dwellings: 25,817 2039 Total dwellings: 25,593 2038 Total dwellings: 25,369 2037 Total dwellings: 25,138 2036 Total dwellings: 24,912 2035 Total dwellings: 24,686 2034 Total dwellings: 24,464 2033 Total dwellings: 24,238 2032 Total dwellings: 24,012 2031 Total dwellings: 23,789 2030 Total dwellings: 23,570 2029 Total dwellings: 23,350 2028 Total dwellings: 23,127 2027 Total dwellings: 22,918 2026 Total dwellings: 22,705 2025 Total dwellings: 22,485 2024 Total dwellings: 22,247 2023 Total dwellings: 22,007 2022 Total dwellings: 21,775 2021 Total dwellings: 21,555 2020 Total dwellings: 21,337 2019 Total dwellings: 21,114 2018 Total dwellings: 20,905 2017 Total dwellings: 20,695 2016 Total dwellings: 20,500 2015 Total dwellings: 20,311 2014 Total dwellings: 20,124 2043 Total dwellings: 26,506 2042 Total dwellings: 26,277 2041 Total dwellings: 26,046 2040 Total dwellings: 25,817 2039 Total dwellings: 25,593 2038 Total dwellings: 25,369 2037 Total dwellings: 25,138 2036 Total dwellings: 24,912 2035 Total dwellings: 24,686 2034 Total dwellings: 24,464 2033 Total dwellings: 24,238 2032 Total dwellings: 24,012 2031 Total dwellings: 23,789 2030 Total dwellings: 23,570 2029 Total dwellings: 23,350 2028 Total dwellings: 23,127 2027 Total dwellings: 22,918 2026 Total dwellings: 22,705 2025 Total dwellings: 22,485 2024 Total dwellings: 22,247 2023 Total dwellings: 22,007 2022 Total dwellings: 21,775 2021 Total dwellings: 21,555 2020 Total dwellings: 21,337 2019 Total dwellings: 21,114 2018 Total dwellings: 20,905 2017 Total dwellings: 20,695 2016 Total dwellings: 20,500 2015 Total dwellings: 20,311 2014 Total dwellings: 20,124 2043 Forecast development: 229 2042 Forecast development: 231 2041 Forecast development: 229 2040 Forecast development: 224 2039 Forecast development: 224 2038 Forecast development: 231 2037 Forecast development: 226 2036 Forecast development: 226 2035 Forecast development: 222 2034 Forecast development: 226 2033 Forecast development: 226 2032 Forecast development: 223 2031 Forecast development: 219 2030 Forecast development: 220 2029 Forecast development: 223 2028 Forecast development: 209 2027 Forecast development: 213 2026 Forecast development: 220 2025 Forecast development: 238 2024 Forecast development: 240 2023 Forecast development: 232 2022 Forecast development: 220 2021 Forecast development: 218 2020 Forecast development: 223 2019 Forecast development: 209 2018 Forecast development: 210 2017 Forecast development: 195 2016 Forecast development: 189 2015 Forecast development: 187 2014 Forecast development: 183
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
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