Wairarapa RegionPopulation forecast
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Masterton District Council

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Masterton District Council will increase by an average of 101 dwellings per annum to 14,000 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the Wairarapa. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2006-2013 dwelling additions are based on dwelling counts recorded at the 2013 Census. Assumptions concerning development over the post 2013 period include:

  • Homebush - Te Ore Ore - Whareama - 226 dwellings (2014-2043)
  • Kopuaranga - 134 dwellings (2014-2043)
  • Lansdowne - 441 dwellings (2014-2043)
  • Masterton East - 279 dwellings (2014-2043)
  • Masterton West - 175 dwellings (2014-2043)
  • Opaki - Fernridge - 617 dwellings (2014-2043)
  • Solway North - 112 dwellings (2014-2043)
  • Solway South - 359 dwellings (2014-2043)
  • Upper Plain - 675 dwellings (2-14-2043)
  • Forecast residential development
    Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 14,000 2042 Total dwellings: 13,884 2041 Total dwellings: 13,766 2040 Total dwellings: 13,650 2039 Total dwellings: 13,537 2038 Total dwellings: 13,426 2037 Total dwellings: 13,308 2036 Total dwellings: 13,197 2035 Total dwellings: 13,085 2034 Total dwellings: 12,975 2033 Total dwellings: 12,863 2032 Total dwellings: 12,752 2031 Total dwellings: 12,639 2030 Total dwellings: 12,531 2029 Total dwellings: 12,419 2028 Total dwellings: 12,309 2027 Total dwellings: 12,212 2026 Total dwellings: 12,113 2025 Total dwellings: 12,009 2024 Total dwellings: 11,900 2023 Total dwellings: 11,801 2022 Total dwellings: 11,705 2021 Total dwellings: 11,613 2020 Total dwellings: 11,517 2019 Total dwellings: 11,422 2018 Total dwellings: 11,333 2017 Total dwellings: 11,250 2016 Total dwellings: 11,182 2015 Total dwellings: 11,114 2014 Total dwellings: 11,047 2043 Total dwellings: 14,000 2042 Total dwellings: 13,884 2041 Total dwellings: 13,766 2040 Total dwellings: 13,650 2039 Total dwellings: 13,537 2038 Total dwellings: 13,426 2037 Total dwellings: 13,308 2036 Total dwellings: 13,197 2035 Total dwellings: 13,085 2034 Total dwellings: 12,975 2033 Total dwellings: 12,863 2032 Total dwellings: 12,752 2031 Total dwellings: 12,639 2030 Total dwellings: 12,531 2029 Total dwellings: 12,419 2028 Total dwellings: 12,309 2027 Total dwellings: 12,212 2026 Total dwellings: 12,113 2025 Total dwellings: 12,009 2024 Total dwellings: 11,900 2023 Total dwellings: 11,801 2022 Total dwellings: 11,705 2021 Total dwellings: 11,613 2020 Total dwellings: 11,517 2019 Total dwellings: 11,422 2018 Total dwellings: 11,333 2017 Total dwellings: 11,250 2016 Total dwellings: 11,182 2015 Total dwellings: 11,114 2014 Total dwellings: 11,047 2043 Forecast development: 116 2042 Forecast development: 118 2041 Forecast development: 116 2040 Forecast development: 113 2039 Forecast development: 111 2038 Forecast development: 118 2037 Forecast development: 111 2036 Forecast development: 112 2035 Forecast development: 110 2034 Forecast development: 112 2033 Forecast development: 111 2032 Forecast development: 113 2031 Forecast development: 108 2030 Forecast development: 112 2029 Forecast development: 110 2028 Forecast development: 97 2027 Forecast development: 99 2026 Forecast development: 104 2025 Forecast development: 109 2024 Forecast development: 99 2023 Forecast development: 96 2022 Forecast development: 92 2021 Forecast development: 96 2020 Forecast development: 95 2019 Forecast development: 89 2018 Forecast development: 83 2017 Forecast development: 68 2016 Forecast development: 68 2015 Forecast development: 67 2014 Forecast development: 65
    Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2018.
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