Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Wellington City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Wellington City is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 13,641 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Wellington CityForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births11,86912,19112,47512,62012,84213,290
Deaths4,5285,2475,8776,5787,3217,997
Net migration5,5382,964980-1,3058272,640
Natural increase/decrease7,3416,9436,5976,0425,5215,292
Change in persons in non-private dwellings763371305245282105

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 1,704 2042 forecast population change: 1,705 2041 forecast population change: 1,586 2040 forecast population change: 1,543 2039 forecast population change: 1,500 2038 forecast population change: 1,610 2037 forecast population change: 1,414 2036 forecast population change: 1,278 2035 forecast population change: 1,266 2034 forecast population change: 1,061 2033 forecast population change: 1,057 2032 forecast population change: 1,006 2031 forecast population change: 981 2030 forecast population change: 989 2029 forecast population change: 949 2028 forecast population change: 991 2027 forecast population change: 1,218 2026 forecast population change: 1,508 2025 forecast population change: 2,002 2024 forecast population change: 2,164 2023 forecast population change: 2,686 2022 forecast population change: 2,229 2021 forecast population change: 1,968 2020 forecast population change: 1,614 2019 forecast population change: 1,781 2018 forecast population change: 2,109 2017 forecast population change: 2,441 2016 forecast population change: 2,754 2015 forecast population change: 3,267 2014 forecast population change: 3,070
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2019.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: 1,058 2042 Natural increase: 1,060 2041 Natural increase: 1,062 2040 Natural increase: 1,055 2039 Natural increase: 1,057 2038 Natural increase: 1,064 2037 Natural increase: 1,076 2036 Natural increase: 1,106 2035 Natural increase: 1,128 2034 Natural increase: 1,147 2033 Natural increase: 1,165 2032 Natural increase: 1,180 2031 Natural increase: 1,200 2030 Natural increase: 1,234 2029 Natural increase: 1,263 2028 Natural increase: 1,280 2027 Natural increase: 1,300 2026 Natural increase: 1,322 2025 Natural increase: 1,345 2024 Natural increase: 1,351 2023 Natural increase: 1,351 2022 Natural increase: 1,367 2021 Natural increase: 1,385 2020 Natural increase: 1,410 2019 Natural increase: 1,431 2018 Natural increase: 1,448 2017 Natural increase: 1,454 2016 Natural increase: 1,464 2015 Natural increase: 1,477 2014 Natural increase: 1,497 2043 Total births: 2,700 2042 Total births: 2,678 2041 Total births: 2,657 2040 Total births: 2,637 2039 Total births: 2,617 2038 Total births: 2,598 2037 Total births: 2,580 2036 Total births: 2,566 2035 Total births: 2,553 2034 Total births: 2,545 2033 Total births: 2,536 2032 Total births: 2,529 2031 Total births: 2,523 2030 Total births: 2,518 2029 Total births: 2,513 2028 Total births: 2,506 2027 Total births: 2,501 2026 Total births: 2,496 2025 Total births: 2,494 2024 Total births: 2,477 2023 Total births: 2,455 2022 Total births: 2,441 2021 Total births: 2,431 2020 Total births: 2,433 2019 Total births: 2,431 2018 Total births: 2,419 2017 Total births: 2,402 2016 Total births: 2,379 2015 Total births: 2,352 2014 Total births: 2,317 2043 Total deaths: 1,642 2042 Total deaths: 1,618 2041 Total deaths: 1,595 2040 Total deaths: 1,582 2039 Total deaths: 1,560 2038 Total deaths: 1,534 2037 Total deaths: 1,504 2036 Total deaths: 1,459 2035 Total deaths: 1,425 2034 Total deaths: 1,398 2033 Total deaths: 1,371 2032 Total deaths: 1,349 2031 Total deaths: 1,324 2030 Total deaths: 1,284 2029 Total deaths: 1,250 2028 Total deaths: 1,226 2027 Total deaths: 1,201 2026 Total deaths: 1,174 2025 Total deaths: 1,149 2024 Total deaths: 1,126 2023 Total deaths: 1,104 2022 Total deaths: 1,074 2021 Total deaths: 1,046 2020 Total deaths: 1,024 2019 Total deaths: 1,000 2018 Total deaths: 971 2017 Total deaths: 948 2016 Total deaths: 915 2015 Total deaths: 875 2014 Total deaths: 820 2043 Natural increase: 1,058 2042 Natural increase: 1,060 2041 Natural increase: 1,062 2040 Natural increase: 1,055 2039 Natural increase: 1,057 2038 Natural increase: 1,064 2037 Natural increase: 1,076 2036 Natural increase: 1,106 2035 Natural increase: 1,128 2034 Natural increase: 1,147 2033 Natural increase: 1,165 2032 Natural increase: 1,180 2031 Natural increase: 1,200 2030 Natural increase: 1,234 2029 Natural increase: 1,263 2028 Natural increase: 1,280 2027 Natural increase: 1,300 2026 Natural increase: 1,322 2025 Natural increase: 1,345 2024 Natural increase: 1,351 2023 Natural increase: 1,351 2022 Natural increase: 1,367 2021 Natural increase: 1,385 2020 Natural increase: 1,410 2019 Natural increase: 1,431 2018 Natural increase: 1,448 2017 Natural increase: 1,454 2016 Natural increase: 1,464 2015 Natural increase: 1,477 2014 Natural increase: 1,497 2043 Total births: 2,700 2042 Total births: 2,678 2041 Total births: 2,657 2040 Total births: 2,637 2039 Total births: 2,617 2038 Total births: 2,598 2037 Total births: 2,580 2036 Total births: 2,566 2035 Total births: 2,553 2034 Total births: 2,545 2033 Total births: 2,536 2032 Total births: 2,529 2031 Total births: 2,523 2030 Total births: 2,518 2029 Total births: 2,513 2028 Total births: 2,506 2027 Total births: 2,501 2026 Total births: 2,496 2025 Total births: 2,494 2024 Total births: 2,477 2023 Total births: 2,455 2022 Total births: 2,441 2021 Total births: 2,431 2020 Total births: 2,433 2019 Total births: 2,431 2018 Total births: 2,419 2017 Total births: 2,402 2016 Total births: 2,379 2015 Total births: 2,352 2014 Total births: 2,317 2043 Total deaths: 1,642 2042 Total deaths: 1,618 2041 Total deaths: 1,595 2040 Total deaths: 1,582 2039 Total deaths: 1,560 2038 Total deaths: 1,534 2037 Total deaths: 1,504 2036 Total deaths: 1,459 2035 Total deaths: 1,425 2034 Total deaths: 1,398 2033 Total deaths: 1,371 2032 Total deaths: 1,349 2031 Total deaths: 1,324 2030 Total deaths: 1,284 2029 Total deaths: 1,250 2028 Total deaths: 1,226 2027 Total deaths: 1,201 2026 Total deaths: 1,174 2025 Total deaths: 1,149 2024 Total deaths: 1,126 2023 Total deaths: 1,104 2022 Total deaths: 1,074 2021 Total deaths: 1,046 2020 Total deaths: 1,024 2019 Total deaths: 1,000 2018 Total deaths: 971 2017 Total deaths: 948 2016 Total deaths: 915 2015 Total deaths: 875 2014 Total deaths: 820
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2019.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 610 2042 Total net migration: 576 2041 Total net migration: 524 2040 Total net migration: 488 2039 Total net migration: 443 2038 Total net migration: 390 2037 Total net migration: 338 2036 Total net migration: 172 2035 Total net migration: 52 2034 Total net migration: -126 2033 Total net migration: -168 2032 Total net migration: -174 2031 Total net migration: -279 2030 Total net migration: -370 2029 Total net migration: -314 2028 Total net migration: -370 2027 Total net migration: -82 2026 Total net migration: 123 2025 Total net migration: 496 2024 Total net migration: 813 2023 Total net migration: 1,189 2022 Total net migration: 863 2021 Total net migration: 479 2020 Total net migration: 83 2019 Total net migration: 350 2018 Total net migration: 506 2017 Total net migration: 769 2016 Total net migration: 1,290 2015 Total net migration: 1,400 2014 Total net migration: 1,573 2043 Total out migration: 21,021 2042 Total out migration: 20,854 2041 Total out migration: 20,694 2040 Total out migration: 20,539 2039 Total out migration: 20,390 2038 Total out migration: 20,246 2037 Total out migration: 20,108 2036 Total out migration: 19,988 2035 Total out migration: 19,884 2034 Total out migration: 19,801 2033 Total out migration: 19,721 2032 Total out migration: 19,643 2031 Total out migration: 19,576 2030 Total out migration: 19,514 2029 Total out migration: 19,459 2028 Total out migration: 19,410 2027 Total out migration: 19,337 2026 Total out migration: 19,252 2025 Total out migration: 19,136 2024 Total out migration: 18,986 2023 Total out migration: 18,794 2022 Total out migration: 18,635 2021 Total out migration: 18,521 2020 Total out migration: 18,463 2019 Total out migration: 18,371 2018 Total out migration: 18,255 2017 Total out migration: 18,106 2016 Total out migration: 17,888 2015 Total out migration: 17,683 2014 Total out migration: 17,619 2043 Total in migration: 21,631 2042 Total in migration: 21,430 2041 Total in migration: 21,217 2040 Total in migration: 21,027 2039 Total in migration: 20,833 2038 Total in migration: 20,637 2037 Total in migration: 20,446 2036 Total in migration: 20,160 2035 Total in migration: 19,935 2034 Total in migration: 19,675 2033 Total in migration: 19,553 2032 Total in migration: 19,469 2031 Total in migration: 19,298 2030 Total in migration: 19,144 2029 Total in migration: 19,145 2028 Total in migration: 19,039 2027 Total in migration: 19,255 2026 Total in migration: 19,375 2025 Total in migration: 19,633 2024 Total in migration: 19,799 2023 Total in migration: 19,983 2022 Total in migration: 19,498 2021 Total in migration: 19,001 2020 Total in migration: 18,545 2019 Total in migration: 18,722 2018 Total in migration: 18,761 2017 Total in migration: 18,875 2016 Total in migration: 19,178 2015 Total in migration: 19,083 2014 Total in migration: 19,192 2043 Total net migration: 610 2042 Total net migration: 576 2041 Total net migration: 524 2040 Total net migration: 488 2039 Total net migration: 443 2038 Total net migration: 390 2037 Total net migration: 338 2036 Total net migration: 172 2035 Total net migration: 52 2034 Total net migration: -126 2033 Total net migration: -168 2032 Total net migration: -174 2031 Total net migration: -279 2030 Total net migration: -370 2029 Total net migration: -314 2028 Total net migration: -370 2027 Total net migration: -82 2026 Total net migration: 123 2025 Total net migration: 496 2024 Total net migration: 813 2023 Total net migration: 1,189 2022 Total net migration: 863 2021 Total net migration: 479 2020 Total net migration: 83 2019 Total net migration: 350 2018 Total net migration: 506 2017 Total net migration: 769 2016 Total net migration: 1,290 2015 Total net migration: 1,400 2014 Total net migration: 1,573 2043 Total out migration: 21,021 2042 Total out migration: 20,854 2041 Total out migration: 20,694 2040 Total out migration: 20,539 2039 Total out migration: 20,390 2038 Total out migration: 20,246 2037 Total out migration: 20,108 2036 Total out migration: 19,988 2035 Total out migration: 19,884 2034 Total out migration: 19,801 2033 Total out migration: 19,721 2032 Total out migration: 19,643 2031 Total out migration: 19,576 2030 Total out migration: 19,514 2029 Total out migration: 19,459 2028 Total out migration: 19,410 2027 Total out migration: 19,337 2026 Total out migration: 19,252 2025 Total out migration: 19,136 2024 Total out migration: 18,986 2023 Total out migration: 18,794 2022 Total out migration: 18,635 2021 Total out migration: 18,521 2020 Total out migration: 18,463 2019 Total out migration: 18,371 2018 Total out migration: 18,255 2017 Total out migration: 18,106 2016 Total out migration: 17,888 2015 Total out migration: 17,683 2014 Total out migration: 17,619 2043 Total in migration: 21,631 2042 Total in migration: 21,430 2041 Total in migration: 21,217 2040 Total in migration: 21,027 2039 Total in migration: 20,833 2038 Total in migration: 20,637 2037 Total in migration: 20,446 2036 Total in migration: 20,160 2035 Total in migration: 19,935 2034 Total in migration: 19,675 2033 Total in migration: 19,553 2032 Total in migration: 19,469 2031 Total in migration: 19,298 2030 Total in migration: 19,144 2029 Total in migration: 19,145 2028 Total in migration: 19,039 2027 Total in migration: 19,255 2026 Total in migration: 19,375 2025 Total in migration: 19,633 2024 Total in migration: 19,799 2023 Total in migration: 19,983 2022 Total in migration: 19,498 2021 Total in migration: 19,001 2020 Total in migration: 18,545 2019 Total in migration: 18,722 2018 Total in migration: 18,761 2017 Total in migration: 18,875 2016 Total in migration: 19,178 2015 Total in migration: 19,083 2014 Total in migration: 19,192
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2019.
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