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Karori

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Karori is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 406 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
KaroriForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births844836818804811836
Deaths368438482531589628
Natural increase/decrease476398336273222208
Net migration-137-290-240-202-4060
Change in persons in non-private dwellings680412200

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 54 2042 forecast population change: 55 2041 forecast population change: 52 2040 forecast population change: 55 2039 forecast population change: 52 2038 forecast population change: 48 2037 forecast population change: 42 2036 forecast population change: 32 2035 forecast population change: 31 2034 forecast population change: 28 2033 forecast population change: 25 2032 forecast population change: 23 2031 forecast population change: 9 2030 forecast population change: 25 2029 forecast population change: 11 2028 forecast population change: 22 2027 forecast population change: 23 2026 forecast population change: 6 2025 forecast population change: 56 2024 forecast population change: 29 2023 forecast population change: 9 2022 forecast population change: 9 2021 forecast population change: 28 2020 forecast population change: 34 2019 forecast population change: 28 2018 forecast population change: 26 2017 forecast population change: 98 2016 forecast population change: 77 2015 forecast population change: 135 2014 forecast population change: 71
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: 43 2042 Natural increase: 41 2041 Natural increase: 42 2040 Natural increase: 42 2039 Natural increase: 40 2038 Natural increase: 40 2037 Natural increase: 42 2036 Natural increase: 46 2035 Natural increase: 46 2034 Natural increase: 47 2033 Natural increase: 50 2032 Natural increase: 52 2031 Natural increase: 54 2030 Natural increase: 57 2029 Natural increase: 60 2028 Natural increase: 61 2027 Natural increase: 63 2026 Natural increase: 68 2025 Natural increase: 71 2024 Natural increase: 73 2023 Natural increase: 74 2022 Natural increase: 76 2021 Natural increase: 79 2020 Natural increase: 82 2019 Natural increase: 86 2018 Natural increase: 91 2017 Natural increase: 92 2016 Natural increase: 94 2015 Natural increase: 97 2014 Natural increase: 101 2043 Total deaths: 126 2042 Total deaths: 127 2041 Total deaths: 125 2040 Total deaths: 125 2039 Total deaths: 125 2038 Total deaths: 124 2037 Total deaths: 121 2036 Total deaths: 116 2035 Total deaths: 116 2034 Total deaths: 113 2033 Total deaths: 111 2032 Total deaths: 109 2031 Total deaths: 106 2030 Total deaths: 104 2029 Total deaths: 102 2028 Total deaths: 101 2027 Total deaths: 99 2026 Total deaths: 96 2025 Total deaths: 94 2024 Total deaths: 92 2023 Total deaths: 92 2022 Total deaths: 91 2021 Total deaths: 88 2020 Total deaths: 86 2019 Total deaths: 82 2018 Total deaths: 78 2017 Total deaths: 77 2016 Total deaths: 74 2015 Total deaths: 72 2014 Total deaths: 68 2043 Total births: 169 2042 Total births: 168 2041 Total births: 167 2040 Total births: 166 2039 Total births: 165 2038 Total births: 164 2037 Total births: 163 2036 Total births: 162 2035 Total births: 161 2034 Total births: 161 2033 Total births: 160 2032 Total births: 160 2031 Total births: 161 2030 Total births: 161 2029 Total births: 162 2028 Total births: 162 2027 Total births: 162 2026 Total births: 163 2025 Total births: 164 2024 Total births: 165 2023 Total births: 166 2022 Total births: 167 2021 Total births: 167 2020 Total births: 168 2019 Total births: 169 2018 Total births: 169 2017 Total births: 169 2016 Total births: 168 2015 Total births: 169 2014 Total births: 169 2043 Natural increase: 43 2042 Natural increase: 41 2041 Natural increase: 42 2040 Natural increase: 42 2039 Natural increase: 40 2038 Natural increase: 40 2037 Natural increase: 42 2036 Natural increase: 46 2035 Natural increase: 46 2034 Natural increase: 47 2033 Natural increase: 50 2032 Natural increase: 52 2031 Natural increase: 54 2030 Natural increase: 57 2029 Natural increase: 60 2028 Natural increase: 61 2027 Natural increase: 63 2026 Natural increase: 68 2025 Natural increase: 71 2024 Natural increase: 73 2023 Natural increase: 74 2022 Natural increase: 76 2021 Natural increase: 79 2020 Natural increase: 82 2019 Natural increase: 86 2018 Natural increase: 91 2017 Natural increase: 92 2016 Natural increase: 94 2015 Natural increase: 97 2014 Natural increase: 101 2043 Total deaths: 126 2042 Total deaths: 127 2041 Total deaths: 125 2040 Total deaths: 125 2039 Total deaths: 125 2038 Total deaths: 124 2037 Total deaths: 121 2036 Total deaths: 116 2035 Total deaths: 116 2034 Total deaths: 113 2033 Total deaths: 111 2032 Total deaths: 109 2031 Total deaths: 106 2030 Total deaths: 104 2029 Total deaths: 102 2028 Total deaths: 101 2027 Total deaths: 99 2026 Total deaths: 96 2025 Total deaths: 94 2024 Total deaths: 92 2023 Total deaths: 92 2022 Total deaths: 91 2021 Total deaths: 88 2020 Total deaths: 86 2019 Total deaths: 82 2018 Total deaths: 78 2017 Total deaths: 77 2016 Total deaths: 74 2015 Total deaths: 72 2014 Total deaths: 68 2043 Total births: 169 2042 Total births: 168 2041 Total births: 167 2040 Total births: 166 2039 Total births: 165 2038 Total births: 164 2037 Total births: 163 2036 Total births: 162 2035 Total births: 161 2034 Total births: 161 2033 Total births: 160 2032 Total births: 160 2031 Total births: 161 2030 Total births: 161 2029 Total births: 162 2028 Total births: 162 2027 Total births: 162 2026 Total births: 163 2025 Total births: 164 2024 Total births: 165 2023 Total births: 166 2022 Total births: 167 2021 Total births: 167 2020 Total births: 168 2019 Total births: 169 2018 Total births: 169 2017 Total births: 169 2016 Total births: 168 2015 Total births: 169 2014 Total births: 169
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 11 2042 Total net migration: 14 2041 Total net migration: 9 2040 Total net migration: 13 2039 Total net migration: 12 2038 Total net migration: 8 2037 Total net migration: 0 2036 Total net migration: -14 2035 Total net migration: -14 2034 Total net migration: -20 2033 Total net migration: -25 2032 Total net migration: -28 2031 Total net migration: -46 2030 Total net migration: -54 2029 Total net migration: -48 2028 Total net migration: -39 2027 Total net migration: -40 2026 Total net migration: -61 2025 Total net migration: -55 2024 Total net migration: -44 2023 Total net migration: -65 2022 Total net migration: -67 2021 Total net migration: -51 2020 Total net migration: -48 2019 Total net migration: -59 2018 Total net migration: -65 2017 Total net migration: -63 2016 Total net migration: -17 2015 Total net migration: 38 2014 Total net migration: -31 2043 Total out migration: 1,283 2042 Total out migration: 1,278 2041 Total out migration: 1,273 2040 Total out migration: 1,268 2039 Total out migration: 1,263 2038 Total out migration: 1,259 2037 Total out migration: 1,255 2036 Total out migration: 1,252 2035 Total out migration: 1,250 2034 Total out migration: 1,247 2033 Total out migration: 1,246 2032 Total out migration: 1,243 2031 Total out migration: 1,243 2030 Total out migration: 1,244 2029 Total out migration: 1,244 2028 Total out migration: 1,243 2027 Total out migration: 1,243 2026 Total out migration: 1,245 2025 Total out migration: 1,248 2024 Total out migration: 1,252 2023 Total out migration: 1,256 2022 Total out migration: 1,260 2021 Total out migration: 1,263 2020 Total out migration: 1,264 2019 Total out migration: 1,268 2018 Total out migration: 1,270 2017 Total out migration: 1,271 2016 Total out migration: 1,266 2015 Total out migration: 1,254 2014 Total out migration: 1,274 2043 Total in migration: 1,294 2042 Total in migration: 1,292 2041 Total in migration: 1,282 2040 Total in migration: 1,281 2039 Total in migration: 1,275 2038 Total in migration: 1,266 2037 Total in migration: 1,255 2036 Total in migration: 1,238 2035 Total in migration: 1,235 2034 Total in migration: 1,228 2033 Total in migration: 1,221 2032 Total in migration: 1,215 2031 Total in migration: 1,197 2030 Total in migration: 1,189 2029 Total in migration: 1,196 2028 Total in migration: 1,204 2027 Total in migration: 1,202 2026 Total in migration: 1,184 2025 Total in migration: 1,193 2024 Total in migration: 1,208 2023 Total in migration: 1,191 2022 Total in migration: 1,194 2021 Total in migration: 1,212 2020 Total in migration: 1,216 2019 Total in migration: 1,209 2018 Total in migration: 1,205 2017 Total in migration: 1,208 2016 Total in migration: 1,249 2015 Total in migration: 1,293 2014 Total in migration: 1,243 2043 Total net migration: 11 2042 Total net migration: 14 2041 Total net migration: 9 2040 Total net migration: 13 2039 Total net migration: 12 2038 Total net migration: 8 2037 Total net migration: 0 2036 Total net migration: -14 2035 Total net migration: -14 2034 Total net migration: -20 2033 Total net migration: -25 2032 Total net migration: -28 2031 Total net migration: -46 2030 Total net migration: -54 2029 Total net migration: -48 2028 Total net migration: -39 2027 Total net migration: -40 2026 Total net migration: -61 2025 Total net migration: -55 2024 Total net migration: -44 2023 Total net migration: -65 2022 Total net migration: -67 2021 Total net migration: -51 2020 Total net migration: -48 2019 Total net migration: -59 2018 Total net migration: -65 2017 Total net migration: -63 2016 Total net migration: -17 2015 Total net migration: 38 2014 Total net migration: -31 2043 Total out migration: 1,283 2042 Total out migration: 1,278 2041 Total out migration: 1,273 2040 Total out migration: 1,268 2039 Total out migration: 1,263 2038 Total out migration: 1,259 2037 Total out migration: 1,255 2036 Total out migration: 1,252 2035 Total out migration: 1,250 2034 Total out migration: 1,247 2033 Total out migration: 1,246 2032 Total out migration: 1,243 2031 Total out migration: 1,243 2030 Total out migration: 1,244 2029 Total out migration: 1,244 2028 Total out migration: 1,243 2027 Total out migration: 1,243 2026 Total out migration: 1,245 2025 Total out migration: 1,248 2024 Total out migration: 1,252 2023 Total out migration: 1,256 2022 Total out migration: 1,260 2021 Total out migration: 1,263 2020 Total out migration: 1,264 2019 Total out migration: 1,268 2018 Total out migration: 1,270 2017 Total out migration: 1,271 2016 Total out migration: 1,266 2015 Total out migration: 1,254 2014 Total out migration: 1,274 2043 Total in migration: 1,294 2042 Total in migration: 1,292 2041 Total in migration: 1,282 2040 Total in migration: 1,281 2039 Total in migration: 1,275 2038 Total in migration: 1,266 2037 Total in migration: 1,255 2036 Total in migration: 1,238 2035 Total in migration: 1,235 2034 Total in migration: 1,228 2033 Total in migration: 1,221 2032 Total in migration: 1,215 2031 Total in migration: 1,197 2030 Total in migration: 1,189 2029 Total in migration: 1,196 2028 Total in migration: 1,204 2027 Total in migration: 1,202 2026 Total in migration: 1,184 2025 Total in migration: 1,193 2024 Total in migration: 1,208 2023 Total in migration: 1,191 2022 Total in migration: 1,194 2021 Total in migration: 1,212 2020 Total in migration: 1,216 2019 Total in migration: 1,209 2018 Total in migration: 1,205 2017 Total in migration: 1,208 2016 Total in migration: 1,249 2015 Total in migration: 1,293 2014 Total in migration: 1,243
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
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