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Lyall Bay

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Lyall Bay is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 122 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Lyall BayForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births245235239245249251
Deaths738490100107109
Natural increase/decrease172152149145142142
Net migration-50-109-139-112-124-109
Change in persons in non-private dwellings000000

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 6 2042 forecast population change: 7 2041 forecast population change: 7 2040 forecast population change: 9 2039 forecast population change: 3 2038 forecast population change: 3 2037 forecast population change: 4 2036 forecast population change: 5 2035 forecast population change: 3 2034 forecast population change: 3 2033 forecast population change: 4 2032 forecast population change: 9 2031 forecast population change: 8 2030 forecast population change: 9 2029 forecast population change: 4 2028 forecast population change: 2 2027 forecast population change: 1 2026 forecast population change: 4 2025 forecast population change: 0 2024 forecast population change: 3 2023 forecast population change: 10 2022 forecast population change: 3 2021 forecast population change: 10 2020 forecast population change: 7 2019 forecast population change: 12 2018 forecast population change: 19 2017 forecast population change: 17 2016 forecast population change: 27 2015 forecast population change: 36 2014 forecast population change: 24
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: 28 2042 Natural increase: 29 2041 Natural increase: 29 2040 Natural increase: 28 2039 Natural increase: 28 2038 Natural increase: 28 2037 Natural increase: 29 2036 Natural increase: 28 2035 Natural increase: 29 2034 Natural increase: 29 2033 Natural increase: 29 2032 Natural increase: 29 2031 Natural increase: 30 2030 Natural increase: 29 2029 Natural increase: 29 2028 Natural increase: 29 2027 Natural increase: 30 2026 Natural increase: 30 2025 Natural increase: 30 2024 Natural increase: 30 2023 Natural increase: 30 2022 Natural increase: 30 2021 Natural increase: 30 2020 Natural increase: 31 2019 Natural increase: 31 2018 Natural increase: 32 2017 Natural increase: 33 2016 Natural increase: 35 2015 Natural increase: 36 2014 Natural increase: 37 2043 Total deaths: 22 2042 Total deaths: 22 2041 Total deaths: 21 2040 Total deaths: 22 2039 Total deaths: 22 2038 Total deaths: 22 2037 Total deaths: 21 2036 Total deaths: 21 2035 Total deaths: 21 2034 Total deaths: 21 2033 Total deaths: 21 2032 Total deaths: 20 2031 Total deaths: 20 2030 Total deaths: 20 2029 Total deaths: 19 2028 Total deaths: 19 2027 Total deaths: 18 2026 Total deaths: 17 2025 Total deaths: 18 2024 Total deaths: 17 2023 Total deaths: 17 2022 Total deaths: 17 2021 Total deaths: 17 2020 Total deaths: 16 2019 Total deaths: 16 2018 Total deaths: 16 2017 Total deaths: 15 2016 Total deaths: 15 2015 Total deaths: 14 2014 Total deaths: 13 2043 Total births: 50 2042 Total births: 50 2041 Total births: 50 2040 Total births: 50 2039 Total births: 50 2038 Total births: 50 2037 Total births: 50 2036 Total births: 50 2035 Total births: 50 2034 Total births: 50 2033 Total births: 50 2032 Total births: 49 2031 Total births: 49 2030 Total births: 49 2029 Total births: 49 2028 Total births: 48 2027 Total births: 48 2026 Total births: 48 2025 Total births: 47 2024 Total births: 47 2023 Total births: 47 2022 Total births: 47 2021 Total births: 47 2020 Total births: 47 2019 Total births: 47 2018 Total births: 48 2017 Total births: 48 2016 Total births: 50 2015 Total births: 50 2014 Total births: 50 2043 Natural increase: 28 2042 Natural increase: 29 2041 Natural increase: 29 2040 Natural increase: 28 2039 Natural increase: 28 2038 Natural increase: 28 2037 Natural increase: 29 2036 Natural increase: 28 2035 Natural increase: 29 2034 Natural increase: 29 2033 Natural increase: 29 2032 Natural increase: 29 2031 Natural increase: 30 2030 Natural increase: 29 2029 Natural increase: 29 2028 Natural increase: 29 2027 Natural increase: 30 2026 Natural increase: 30 2025 Natural increase: 30 2024 Natural increase: 30 2023 Natural increase: 30 2022 Natural increase: 30 2021 Natural increase: 30 2020 Natural increase: 31 2019 Natural increase: 31 2018 Natural increase: 32 2017 Natural increase: 33 2016 Natural increase: 35 2015 Natural increase: 36 2014 Natural increase: 37 2043 Total deaths: 22 2042 Total deaths: 22 2041 Total deaths: 21 2040 Total deaths: 22 2039 Total deaths: 22 2038 Total deaths: 22 2037 Total deaths: 21 2036 Total deaths: 21 2035 Total deaths: 21 2034 Total deaths: 21 2033 Total deaths: 21 2032 Total deaths: 20 2031 Total deaths: 20 2030 Total deaths: 20 2029 Total deaths: 19 2028 Total deaths: 19 2027 Total deaths: 18 2026 Total deaths: 17 2025 Total deaths: 18 2024 Total deaths: 17 2023 Total deaths: 17 2022 Total deaths: 17 2021 Total deaths: 17 2020 Total deaths: 16 2019 Total deaths: 16 2018 Total deaths: 16 2017 Total deaths: 15 2016 Total deaths: 15 2015 Total deaths: 14 2014 Total deaths: 13 2043 Total births: 50 2042 Total births: 50 2041 Total births: 50 2040 Total births: 50 2039 Total births: 50 2038 Total births: 50 2037 Total births: 50 2036 Total births: 50 2035 Total births: 50 2034 Total births: 50 2033 Total births: 50 2032 Total births: 49 2031 Total births: 49 2030 Total births: 49 2029 Total births: 49 2028 Total births: 48 2027 Total births: 48 2026 Total births: 48 2025 Total births: 47 2024 Total births: 47 2023 Total births: 47 2022 Total births: 47 2021 Total births: 47 2020 Total births: 47 2019 Total births: 47 2018 Total births: 48 2017 Total births: 48 2016 Total births: 50 2015 Total births: 50 2014 Total births: 50
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: -22 2042 Total net migration: -22 2041 Total net migration: -22 2040 Total net migration: -19 2039 Total net migration: -24 2038 Total net migration: -26 2037 Total net migration: -25 2036 Total net migration: -23 2035 Total net migration: -25 2034 Total net migration: -25 2033 Total net migration: -25 2032 Total net migration: -20 2031 Total net migration: -22 2030 Total net migration: -20 2029 Total net migration: -25 2028 Total net migration: -28 2027 Total net migration: -29 2026 Total net migration: -26 2025 Total net migration: -30 2024 Total net migration: -27 2023 Total net migration: -20 2022 Total net migration: -27 2021 Total net migration: -20 2020 Total net migration: -24 2019 Total net migration: -18 2018 Total net migration: -13 2017 Total net migration: -15 2016 Total net migration: -8 2015 Total net migration: 0 2014 Total net migration: -14 2043 Total out migration: 248 2042 Total out migration: 247 2041 Total out migration: 246 2040 Total out migration: 245 2039 Total out migration: 245 2038 Total out migration: 245 2037 Total out migration: 244 2036 Total out migration: 244 2035 Total out migration: 244 2034 Total out migration: 244 2033 Total out migration: 244 2032 Total out migration: 243 2031 Total out migration: 242 2030 Total out migration: 241 2029 Total out migration: 241 2028 Total out migration: 241 2027 Total out migration: 241 2026 Total out migration: 241 2025 Total out migration: 241 2024 Total out migration: 242 2023 Total out migration: 241 2022 Total out migration: 241 2021 Total out migration: 241 2020 Total out migration: 240 2019 Total out migration: 240 2018 Total out migration: 239 2017 Total out migration: 238 2016 Total out migration: 237 2015 Total out migration: 235 2014 Total out migration: 234 2043 Total in migration: 226 2042 Total in migration: 225 2041 Total in migration: 224 2040 Total in migration: 226 2039 Total in migration: 221 2038 Total in migration: 219 2037 Total in migration: 220 2036 Total in migration: 221 2035 Total in migration: 219 2034 Total in migration: 219 2033 Total in migration: 219 2032 Total in migration: 223 2031 Total in migration: 220 2030 Total in migration: 221 2029 Total in migration: 216 2028 Total in migration: 213 2027 Total in migration: 212 2026 Total in migration: 215 2025 Total in migration: 211 2024 Total in migration: 215 2023 Total in migration: 221 2022 Total in migration: 214 2021 Total in migration: 220 2020 Total in migration: 217 2019 Total in migration: 222 2018 Total in migration: 226 2017 Total in migration: 223 2016 Total in migration: 229 2015 Total in migration: 235 2014 Total in migration: 221 2043 Total net migration: -22 2042 Total net migration: -22 2041 Total net migration: -22 2040 Total net migration: -19 2039 Total net migration: -24 2038 Total net migration: -26 2037 Total net migration: -25 2036 Total net migration: -23 2035 Total net migration: -25 2034 Total net migration: -25 2033 Total net migration: -25 2032 Total net migration: -20 2031 Total net migration: -22 2030 Total net migration: -20 2029 Total net migration: -25 2028 Total net migration: -28 2027 Total net migration: -29 2026 Total net migration: -26 2025 Total net migration: -30 2024 Total net migration: -27 2023 Total net migration: -20 2022 Total net migration: -27 2021 Total net migration: -20 2020 Total net migration: -24 2019 Total net migration: -18 2018 Total net migration: -13 2017 Total net migration: -15 2016 Total net migration: -8 2015 Total net migration: 0 2014 Total net migration: -14 2043 Total out migration: 248 2042 Total out migration: 247 2041 Total out migration: 246 2040 Total out migration: 245 2039 Total out migration: 245 2038 Total out migration: 245 2037 Total out migration: 244 2036 Total out migration: 244 2035 Total out migration: 244 2034 Total out migration: 244 2033 Total out migration: 244 2032 Total out migration: 243 2031 Total out migration: 242 2030 Total out migration: 241 2029 Total out migration: 241 2028 Total out migration: 241 2027 Total out migration: 241 2026 Total out migration: 241 2025 Total out migration: 241 2024 Total out migration: 242 2023 Total out migration: 241 2022 Total out migration: 241 2021 Total out migration: 241 2020 Total out migration: 240 2019 Total out migration: 240 2018 Total out migration: 239 2017 Total out migration: 238 2016 Total out migration: 237 2015 Total out migration: 235 2014 Total out migration: 234 2043 Total in migration: 226 2042 Total in migration: 225 2041 Total in migration: 224 2040 Total in migration: 226 2039 Total in migration: 221 2038 Total in migration: 219 2037 Total in migration: 220 2036 Total in migration: 221 2035 Total in migration: 219 2034 Total in migration: 219 2033 Total in migration: 219 2032 Total in migration: 223 2031 Total in migration: 220 2030 Total in migration: 221 2029 Total in migration: 216 2028 Total in migration: 213 2027 Total in migration: 212 2026 Total in migration: 215 2025 Total in migration: 211 2024 Total in migration: 215 2023 Total in migration: 221 2022 Total in migration: 214 2021 Total in migration: 220 2020 Total in migration: 217 2019 Total in migration: 222 2018 Total in migration: 226 2017 Total in migration: 223 2016 Total in migration: 229 2015 Total in migration: 235 2014 Total in migration: 221
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
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