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Newlands - Ngauranga

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Newlands - Ngauranga is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 629 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Newlands - NgaurangaForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births586634685704699694
Deaths160186206227251264
Natural increase/decrease426448479477447430
Net migration20399-419-400-467-309
Change in persons in non-private dwellings000000

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 28 2042 forecast population change: 23 2041 forecast population change: 22 2040 forecast population change: 26 2039 forecast population change: 22 2038 forecast population change: 15 2037 forecast population change: 8 2036 forecast population change: 1 2035 forecast population change: -20 2034 forecast population change: -24 2033 forecast population change: 1 2032 forecast population change: 23 2031 forecast population change: 14 2030 forecast population change: 17 2029 forecast population change: 21 2028 forecast population change: -10 2027 forecast population change: -23 2026 forecast population change: 19 2025 forecast population change: 17 2024 forecast population change: 57 2023 forecast population change: 93 2022 forecast population change: 98 2021 forecast population change: 132 2020 forecast population change: 89 2019 forecast population change: 136 2018 forecast population change: 120 2017 forecast population change: 130 2016 forecast population change: 137 2015 forecast population change: 130 2014 forecast population change: 112
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: 85 2042 Natural increase: 86 2041 Natural increase: 87 2040 Natural increase: 85 2039 Natural increase: 86 2038 Natural increase: 86 2037 Natural increase: 87 2036 Natural increase: 89 2035 Natural increase: 92 2034 Natural increase: 94 2033 Natural increase: 94 2032 Natural increase: 95 2031 Natural increase: 95 2030 Natural increase: 96 2029 Natural increase: 96 2028 Natural increase: 97 2027 Natural increase: 96 2026 Natural increase: 95 2025 Natural increase: 96 2024 Natural increase: 95 2023 Natural increase: 94 2022 Natural increase: 91 2021 Natural increase: 90 2020 Natural increase: 88 2019 Natural increase: 86 2018 Natural increase: 86 2017 Natural increase: 85 2016 Natural increase: 86 2015 Natural increase: 86 2014 Natural increase: 82 2043 Total deaths: 54 2042 Total deaths: 53 2041 Total deaths: 52 2040 Total deaths: 53 2039 Total deaths: 53 2038 Total deaths: 53 2037 Total deaths: 52 2036 Total deaths: 51 2035 Total deaths: 48 2034 Total deaths: 47 2033 Total deaths: 47 2032 Total deaths: 46 2031 Total deaths: 46 2030 Total deaths: 45 2029 Total deaths: 43 2028 Total deaths: 42 2027 Total deaths: 42 2026 Total deaths: 42 2025 Total deaths: 41 2024 Total deaths: 39 2023 Total deaths: 38 2022 Total deaths: 38 2021 Total deaths: 37 2020 Total deaths: 37 2019 Total deaths: 36 2018 Total deaths: 34 2017 Total deaths: 33 2016 Total deaths: 32 2015 Total deaths: 31 2014 Total deaths: 30 2043 Total births: 139 2042 Total births: 139 2041 Total births: 139 2040 Total births: 139 2039 Total births: 139 2038 Total births: 139 2037 Total births: 139 2036 Total births: 139 2035 Total births: 140 2034 Total births: 141 2033 Total births: 142 2032 Total births: 141 2031 Total births: 141 2030 Total births: 140 2029 Total births: 139 2028 Total births: 139 2027 Total births: 138 2026 Total births: 137 2025 Total births: 136 2024 Total births: 134 2023 Total births: 132 2022 Total births: 129 2021 Total births: 126 2020 Total births: 125 2019 Total births: 122 2018 Total births: 120 2017 Total births: 119 2016 Total births: 118 2015 Total births: 117 2014 Total births: 112 2043 Natural increase: 85 2042 Natural increase: 86 2041 Natural increase: 87 2040 Natural increase: 85 2039 Natural increase: 86 2038 Natural increase: 86 2037 Natural increase: 87 2036 Natural increase: 89 2035 Natural increase: 92 2034 Natural increase: 94 2033 Natural increase: 94 2032 Natural increase: 95 2031 Natural increase: 95 2030 Natural increase: 96 2029 Natural increase: 96 2028 Natural increase: 97 2027 Natural increase: 96 2026 Natural increase: 95 2025 Natural increase: 96 2024 Natural increase: 95 2023 Natural increase: 94 2022 Natural increase: 91 2021 Natural increase: 90 2020 Natural increase: 88 2019 Natural increase: 86 2018 Natural increase: 86 2017 Natural increase: 85 2016 Natural increase: 86 2015 Natural increase: 86 2014 Natural increase: 82 2043 Total deaths: 54 2042 Total deaths: 53 2041 Total deaths: 52 2040 Total deaths: 53 2039 Total deaths: 53 2038 Total deaths: 53 2037 Total deaths: 52 2036 Total deaths: 51 2035 Total deaths: 48 2034 Total deaths: 47 2033 Total deaths: 47 2032 Total deaths: 46 2031 Total deaths: 46 2030 Total deaths: 45 2029 Total deaths: 43 2028 Total deaths: 42 2027 Total deaths: 42 2026 Total deaths: 42 2025 Total deaths: 41 2024 Total deaths: 39 2023 Total deaths: 38 2022 Total deaths: 38 2021 Total deaths: 37 2020 Total deaths: 37 2019 Total deaths: 36 2018 Total deaths: 34 2017 Total deaths: 33 2016 Total deaths: 32 2015 Total deaths: 31 2014 Total deaths: 30 2043 Total births: 139 2042 Total births: 139 2041 Total births: 139 2040 Total births: 139 2039 Total births: 139 2038 Total births: 139 2037 Total births: 139 2036 Total births: 139 2035 Total births: 140 2034 Total births: 141 2033 Total births: 142 2032 Total births: 141 2031 Total births: 141 2030 Total births: 140 2029 Total births: 139 2028 Total births: 139 2027 Total births: 138 2026 Total births: 137 2025 Total births: 136 2024 Total births: 134 2023 Total births: 132 2022 Total births: 129 2021 Total births: 126 2020 Total births: 125 2019 Total births: 122 2018 Total births: 120 2017 Total births: 119 2016 Total births: 118 2015 Total births: 117 2014 Total births: 112
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: -57 2042 Total net migration: -64 2041 Total net migration: -65 2040 Total net migration: -60 2039 Total net migration: -64 2038 Total net migration: -70 2037 Total net migration: -79 2036 Total net migration: -88 2035 Total net migration: -112 2034 Total net migration: -118 2033 Total net migration: -93 2032 Total net migration: -72 2031 Total net migration: -82 2030 Total net migration: -78 2029 Total net migration: -75 2028 Total net migration: -107 2027 Total net migration: -119 2026 Total net migration: -76 2025 Total net migration: -79 2024 Total net migration: -38 2023 Total net migration: 0 2022 Total net migration: 6 2021 Total net migration: 42 2020 Total net migration: 2 2019 Total net migration: 50 2018 Total net migration: 34 2017 Total net migration: 44 2016 Total net migration: 51 2015 Total net migration: 44 2014 Total net migration: 30 2043 Total out migration: 806 2042 Total out migration: 804 2041 Total out migration: 802 2040 Total out migration: 799 2039 Total out migration: 797 2038 Total out migration: 796 2037 Total out migration: 796 2036 Total out migration: 797 2035 Total out migration: 800 2034 Total out migration: 804 2033 Total out migration: 804 2032 Total out migration: 802 2031 Total out migration: 801 2030 Total out migration: 799 2029 Total out migration: 796 2028 Total out migration: 798 2027 Total out migration: 801 2026 Total out migration: 800 2025 Total out migration: 800 2024 Total out migration: 795 2023 Total out migration: 786 2022 Total out migration: 777 2021 Total out migration: 764 2020 Total out migration: 756 2019 Total out migration: 741 2018 Total out migration: 728 2017 Total out migration: 716 2016 Total out migration: 704 2015 Total out migration: 694 2014 Total out migration: 692 2043 Total in migration: 749 2042 Total in migration: 740 2041 Total in migration: 737 2040 Total in migration: 740 2039 Total in migration: 734 2038 Total in migration: 726 2037 Total in migration: 717 2036 Total in migration: 709 2035 Total in migration: 688 2034 Total in migration: 686 2033 Total in migration: 711 2032 Total in migration: 730 2031 Total in migration: 719 2030 Total in migration: 720 2029 Total in migration: 721 2028 Total in migration: 691 2027 Total in migration: 681 2026 Total in migration: 723 2025 Total in migration: 721 2024 Total in migration: 757 2023 Total in migration: 786 2022 Total in migration: 783 2021 Total in migration: 806 2020 Total in migration: 757 2019 Total in migration: 791 2018 Total in migration: 763 2017 Total in migration: 761 2016 Total in migration: 754 2015 Total in migration: 738 2014 Total in migration: 722 2043 Total net migration: -57 2042 Total net migration: -64 2041 Total net migration: -65 2040 Total net migration: -60 2039 Total net migration: -64 2038 Total net migration: -70 2037 Total net migration: -79 2036 Total net migration: -88 2035 Total net migration: -112 2034 Total net migration: -118 2033 Total net migration: -93 2032 Total net migration: -72 2031 Total net migration: -82 2030 Total net migration: -78 2029 Total net migration: -75 2028 Total net migration: -107 2027 Total net migration: -119 2026 Total net migration: -76 2025 Total net migration: -79 2024 Total net migration: -38 2023 Total net migration: 0 2022 Total net migration: 6 2021 Total net migration: 42 2020 Total net migration: 2 2019 Total net migration: 50 2018 Total net migration: 34 2017 Total net migration: 44 2016 Total net migration: 51 2015 Total net migration: 44 2014 Total net migration: 30 2043 Total out migration: 806 2042 Total out migration: 804 2041 Total out migration: 802 2040 Total out migration: 799 2039 Total out migration: 797 2038 Total out migration: 796 2037 Total out migration: 796 2036 Total out migration: 797 2035 Total out migration: 800 2034 Total out migration: 804 2033 Total out migration: 804 2032 Total out migration: 802 2031 Total out migration: 801 2030 Total out migration: 799 2029 Total out migration: 796 2028 Total out migration: 798 2027 Total out migration: 801 2026 Total out migration: 800 2025 Total out migration: 800 2024 Total out migration: 795 2023 Total out migration: 786 2022 Total out migration: 777 2021 Total out migration: 764 2020 Total out migration: 756 2019 Total out migration: 741 2018 Total out migration: 728 2017 Total out migration: 716 2016 Total out migration: 704 2015 Total out migration: 694 2014 Total out migration: 692 2043 Total in migration: 749 2042 Total in migration: 740 2041 Total in migration: 737 2040 Total in migration: 740 2039 Total in migration: 734 2038 Total in migration: 726 2037 Total in migration: 717 2036 Total in migration: 709 2035 Total in migration: 688 2034 Total in migration: 686 2033 Total in migration: 711 2032 Total in migration: 730 2031 Total in migration: 719 2030 Total in migration: 720 2029 Total in migration: 721 2028 Total in migration: 691 2027 Total in migration: 681 2026 Total in migration: 723 2025 Total in migration: 721 2024 Total in migration: 757 2023 Total in migration: 786 2022 Total in migration: 783 2021 Total in migration: 806 2020 Total in migration: 757 2019 Total in migration: 791 2018 Total in migration: 763 2017 Total in migration: 761 2016 Total in migration: 754 2015 Total in migration: 738 2014 Total in migration: 722
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
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