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Tawa - Grenada North - Takapu Valley

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Tawa - Grenada North - Takapu Valley is forecast for the period from 2039 to 2043, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,057 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Tawa - Grenada North - Takapu ValleyForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births9499859789691,0121,091
Deaths458496531600687771
Natural increase/decrease491490447369325320
Net migration-11-192-101237534669
Change in persons in non-private dwellings1040008669

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 192 2042 forecast population change: 266 2041 forecast population change: 199 2040 forecast population change: 202 2039 forecast population change: 198 2038 forecast population change: 195 2037 forecast population change: 185 2036 forecast population change: 166 2035 forecast population change: 247 2034 forecast population change: 152 2033 forecast population change: 141 2032 forecast population change: 135 2031 forecast population change: 120 2030 forecast population change: 114 2029 forecast population change: 97 2028 forecast population change: 91 2027 forecast population change: 55 2026 forecast population change: 56 2025 forecast population change: 37 2024 forecast population change: 106 2023 forecast population change: 71 2022 forecast population change: 37 2021 forecast population change: 101 2020 forecast population change: -4 2019 forecast population change: 93 2018 forecast population change: 234 2017 forecast population change: 143 2016 forecast population change: 165 2015 forecast population change: -42 2014 forecast population change: 84
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: 66 2042 Natural increase: 65 2041 Natural increase: 64 2040 Natural increase: 61 2039 Natural increase: 64 2038 Natural increase: 64 2037 Natural increase: 65 2036 Natural increase: 65 2035 Natural increase: 66 2034 Natural increase: 66 2033 Natural increase: 69 2032 Natural increase: 71 2031 Natural increase: 74 2030 Natural increase: 77 2029 Natural increase: 79 2028 Natural increase: 83 2027 Natural increase: 87 2026 Natural increase: 90 2025 Natural increase: 93 2024 Natural increase: 94 2023 Natural increase: 94 2022 Natural increase: 98 2021 Natural increase: 97 2020 Natural increase: 100 2019 Natural increase: 100 2018 Natural increase: 98 2017 Natural increase: 98 2016 Natural increase: 98 2015 Natural increase: 99 2014 Natural increase: 99 2043 Total deaths: 158 2042 Total deaths: 157 2041 Total deaths: 154 2040 Total deaths: 154 2039 Total deaths: 148 2038 Total deaths: 144 2037 Total deaths: 140 2036 Total deaths: 137 2035 Total deaths: 134 2034 Total deaths: 131 2033 Total deaths: 127 2032 Total deaths: 124 2031 Total deaths: 119 2030 Total deaths: 116 2029 Total deaths: 114 2028 Total deaths: 111 2027 Total deaths: 108 2026 Total deaths: 106 2025 Total deaths: 105 2024 Total deaths: 103 2023 Total deaths: 102 2022 Total deaths: 99 2021 Total deaths: 99 2020 Total deaths: 98 2019 Total deaths: 98 2018 Total deaths: 98 2017 Total deaths: 96 2016 Total deaths: 93 2015 Total deaths: 89 2014 Total deaths: 83 2043 Total births: 225 2042 Total births: 222 2041 Total births: 218 2040 Total births: 215 2039 Total births: 211 2038 Total births: 208 2037 Total births: 205 2036 Total births: 202 2035 Total births: 200 2034 Total births: 198 2033 Total births: 196 2032 Total births: 194 2031 Total births: 193 2030 Total births: 193 2029 Total births: 193 2028 Total births: 193 2027 Total births: 195 2026 Total births: 196 2025 Total births: 198 2024 Total births: 197 2023 Total births: 197 2022 Total births: 197 2021 Total births: 196 2020 Total births: 198 2019 Total births: 198 2018 Total births: 195 2017 Total births: 193 2016 Total births: 191 2015 Total births: 188 2014 Total births: 181 2043 Natural increase: 66 2042 Natural increase: 65 2041 Natural increase: 64 2040 Natural increase: 61 2039 Natural increase: 64 2038 Natural increase: 64 2037 Natural increase: 65 2036 Natural increase: 65 2035 Natural increase: 66 2034 Natural increase: 66 2033 Natural increase: 69 2032 Natural increase: 71 2031 Natural increase: 74 2030 Natural increase: 77 2029 Natural increase: 79 2028 Natural increase: 83 2027 Natural increase: 87 2026 Natural increase: 90 2025 Natural increase: 93 2024 Natural increase: 94 2023 Natural increase: 94 2022 Natural increase: 98 2021 Natural increase: 97 2020 Natural increase: 100 2019 Natural increase: 100 2018 Natural increase: 98 2017 Natural increase: 98 2016 Natural increase: 98 2015 Natural increase: 99 2014 Natural increase: 99 2043 Total deaths: 158 2042 Total deaths: 157 2041 Total deaths: 154 2040 Total deaths: 154 2039 Total deaths: 148 2038 Total deaths: 144 2037 Total deaths: 140 2036 Total deaths: 137 2035 Total deaths: 134 2034 Total deaths: 131 2033 Total deaths: 127 2032 Total deaths: 124 2031 Total deaths: 119 2030 Total deaths: 116 2029 Total deaths: 114 2028 Total deaths: 111 2027 Total deaths: 108 2026 Total deaths: 106 2025 Total deaths: 105 2024 Total deaths: 103 2023 Total deaths: 102 2022 Total deaths: 99 2021 Total deaths: 99 2020 Total deaths: 98 2019 Total deaths: 98 2018 Total deaths: 98 2017 Total deaths: 96 2016 Total deaths: 93 2015 Total deaths: 89 2014 Total deaths: 83 2043 Total births: 225 2042 Total births: 222 2041 Total births: 218 2040 Total births: 215 2039 Total births: 211 2038 Total births: 208 2037 Total births: 205 2036 Total births: 202 2035 Total births: 200 2034 Total births: 198 2033 Total births: 196 2032 Total births: 194 2031 Total births: 193 2030 Total births: 193 2029 Total births: 193 2028 Total births: 193 2027 Total births: 195 2026 Total births: 196 2025 Total births: 198 2024 Total births: 197 2023 Total births: 197 2022 Total births: 197 2021 Total births: 196 2020 Total births: 198 2019 Total births: 198 2018 Total births: 195 2017 Total births: 193 2016 Total births: 191 2015 Total births: 188 2014 Total births: 181
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 126 2042 Total net migration: 132 2041 Total net migration: 135 2040 Total net migration: 141 2039 Total net migration: 135 2038 Total net migration: 131 2037 Total net migration: 120 2036 Total net migration: 101 2035 Total net migration: 96 2034 Total net migration: 86 2033 Total net migration: 72 2032 Total net migration: 64 2031 Total net migration: 46 2030 Total net migration: 36 2029 Total net migration: 18 2028 Total net migration: 9 2027 Total net migration: -31 2026 Total net migration: -34 2025 Total net migration: -56 2024 Total net migration: 12 2023 Total net migration: -24 2022 Total net migration: -62 2021 Total net migration: 4 2020 Total net migration: -104 2019 Total net migration: -7 2018 Total net migration: 33 2017 Total net migration: 46 2016 Total net migration: 67 2015 Total net migration: -141 2014 Total net migration: -14 2043 Total out migration: 1,486 2042 Total out migration: 1,469 2041 Total out migration: 1,451 2040 Total out migration: 1,433 2039 Total out migration: 1,415 2038 Total out migration: 1,397 2037 Total out migration: 1,381 2036 Total out migration: 1,366 2035 Total out migration: 1,352 2034 Total out migration: 1,338 2033 Total out migration: 1,326 2032 Total out migration: 1,315 2031 Total out migration: 1,305 2030 Total out migration: 1,296 2029 Total out migration: 1,290 2028 Total out migration: 1,284 2027 Total out migration: 1,283 2026 Total out migration: 1,282 2025 Total out migration: 1,284 2024 Total out migration: 1,279 2023 Total out migration: 1,277 2022 Total out migration: 1,279 2021 Total out migration: 1,273 2020 Total out migration: 1,279 2019 Total out migration: 1,271 2018 Total out migration: 1,257 2017 Total out migration: 1,241 2016 Total out migration: 1,220 2015 Total out migration: 1,221 2014 Total out migration: 1,237 2043 Total in migration: 1,612 2042 Total in migration: 1,600 2041 Total in migration: 1,586 2040 Total in migration: 1,575 2039 Total in migration: 1,550 2038 Total in migration: 1,529 2037 Total in migration: 1,501 2036 Total in migration: 1,467 2035 Total in migration: 1,448 2034 Total in migration: 1,424 2033 Total in migration: 1,398 2032 Total in migration: 1,379 2031 Total in migration: 1,351 2030 Total in migration: 1,333 2029 Total in migration: 1,307 2028 Total in migration: 1,293 2027 Total in migration: 1,252 2026 Total in migration: 1,248 2025 Total in migration: 1,228 2024 Total in migration: 1,290 2023 Total in migration: 1,253 2022 Total in migration: 1,217 2021 Total in migration: 1,277 2020 Total in migration: 1,175 2019 Total in migration: 1,264 2018 Total in migration: 1,289 2017 Total in migration: 1,286 2016 Total in migration: 1,287 2015 Total in migration: 1,079 2014 Total in migration: 1,223 2043 Total net migration: 126 2042 Total net migration: 132 2041 Total net migration: 135 2040 Total net migration: 141 2039 Total net migration: 135 2038 Total net migration: 131 2037 Total net migration: 120 2036 Total net migration: 101 2035 Total net migration: 96 2034 Total net migration: 86 2033 Total net migration: 72 2032 Total net migration: 64 2031 Total net migration: 46 2030 Total net migration: 36 2029 Total net migration: 18 2028 Total net migration: 9 2027 Total net migration: -31 2026 Total net migration: -34 2025 Total net migration: -56 2024 Total net migration: 12 2023 Total net migration: -24 2022 Total net migration: -62 2021 Total net migration: 4 2020 Total net migration: -104 2019 Total net migration: -7 2018 Total net migration: 33 2017 Total net migration: 46 2016 Total net migration: 67 2015 Total net migration: -141 2014 Total net migration: -14 2043 Total out migration: 1,486 2042 Total out migration: 1,469 2041 Total out migration: 1,451 2040 Total out migration: 1,433 2039 Total out migration: 1,415 2038 Total out migration: 1,397 2037 Total out migration: 1,381 2036 Total out migration: 1,366 2035 Total out migration: 1,352 2034 Total out migration: 1,338 2033 Total out migration: 1,326 2032 Total out migration: 1,315 2031 Total out migration: 1,305 2030 Total out migration: 1,296 2029 Total out migration: 1,290 2028 Total out migration: 1,284 2027 Total out migration: 1,283 2026 Total out migration: 1,282 2025 Total out migration: 1,284 2024 Total out migration: 1,279 2023 Total out migration: 1,277 2022 Total out migration: 1,279 2021 Total out migration: 1,273 2020 Total out migration: 1,279 2019 Total out migration: 1,271 2018 Total out migration: 1,257 2017 Total out migration: 1,241 2016 Total out migration: 1,220 2015 Total out migration: 1,221 2014 Total out migration: 1,237 2043 Total in migration: 1,612 2042 Total in migration: 1,600 2041 Total in migration: 1,586 2040 Total in migration: 1,575 2039 Total in migration: 1,550 2038 Total in migration: 1,529 2037 Total in migration: 1,501 2036 Total in migration: 1,467 2035 Total in migration: 1,448 2034 Total in migration: 1,424 2033 Total in migration: 1,398 2032 Total in migration: 1,379 2031 Total in migration: 1,351 2030 Total in migration: 1,333 2029 Total in migration: 1,307 2028 Total in migration: 1,293 2027 Total in migration: 1,252 2026 Total in migration: 1,248 2025 Total in migration: 1,228 2024 Total in migration: 1,290 2023 Total in migration: 1,253 2022 Total in migration: 1,217 2021 Total in migration: 1,277 2020 Total in migration: 1,175 2019 Total in migration: 1,264 2018 Total in migration: 1,289 2017 Total in migration: 1,286 2016 Total in migration: 1,287 2015 Total in migration: 1,079 2014 Total in migration: 1,223
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
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