Wellington CityPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Te Aro

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Te Aro is forecast for the period from 2019 to 2023, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,764 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Te AroForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births356538645696721740
Deaths131170211244281318
Natural increase/decrease225368434452440423
Net migration2,0532,397800655246623
Change in persons in non-private dwellings1500820410

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 222 2042 forecast population change: 222 2041 forecast population change: 202 2040 forecast population change: 204 2039 forecast population change: 196 2038 forecast population change: 208 2037 forecast population change: 141 2036 forecast population change: 138 2035 forecast population change: 145 2034 forecast population change: 95 2033 forecast population change: 213 2032 forecast population change: 274 2031 forecast population change: 217 2030 forecast population change: 220 2029 forecast population change: 183 2028 forecast population change: 242 2027 forecast population change: 169 2026 forecast population change: 214 2025 forecast population change: 274 2024 forecast population change: 417 2023 forecast population change: 610 2022 forecast population change: 486 2021 forecast population change: 530 2020 forecast population change: 509 2019 forecast population change: 629 2018 forecast population change: 701 2017 forecast population change: 442 2016 forecast population change: 146 2015 forecast population change: 577 2014 forecast population change: 562
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: 85 2042 Natural increase: 84 2041 Natural increase: 85 2040 Natural increase: 84 2039 Natural increase: 85 2038 Natural increase: 85 2037 Natural increase: 87 2036 Natural increase: 88 2035 Natural increase: 90 2034 Natural increase: 90 2033 Natural increase: 90 2032 Natural increase: 90 2031 Natural increase: 90 2030 Natural increase: 91 2029 Natural increase: 91 2028 Natural increase: 90 2027 Natural increase: 89 2026 Natural increase: 87 2025 Natural increase: 85 2024 Natural increase: 83 2023 Natural increase: 80 2022 Natural increase: 77 2021 Natural increase: 74 2020 Natural increase: 71 2019 Natural increase: 67 2018 Natural increase: 62 2017 Natural increase: 59 2016 Natural increase: 44 2015 Natural increase: 31 2014 Natural increase: 28 2043 Total deaths: 65 2042 Total deaths: 65 2041 Total deaths: 63 2040 Total deaths: 63 2039 Total deaths: 61 2038 Total deaths: 60 2037 Total deaths: 58 2036 Total deaths: 56 2035 Total deaths: 54 2034 Total deaths: 53 2033 Total deaths: 52 2032 Total deaths: 51 2031 Total deaths: 49 2030 Total deaths: 47 2029 Total deaths: 46 2028 Total deaths: 45 2027 Total deaths: 44 2026 Total deaths: 43 2025 Total deaths: 41 2024 Total deaths: 39 2023 Total deaths: 38 2022 Total deaths: 36 2021 Total deaths: 34 2020 Total deaths: 32 2019 Total deaths: 31 2018 Total deaths: 29 2017 Total deaths: 27 2016 Total deaths: 27 2015 Total deaths: 25 2014 Total deaths: 23 2043 Total births: 150 2042 Total births: 149 2041 Total births: 148 2040 Total births: 147 2039 Total births: 146 2038 Total births: 145 2037 Total births: 145 2036 Total births: 144 2035 Total births: 144 2034 Total births: 143 2033 Total births: 142 2032 Total births: 140 2031 Total births: 139 2030 Total births: 138 2029 Total births: 137 2028 Total births: 135 2027 Total births: 132 2026 Total births: 129 2025 Total births: 126 2024 Total births: 123 2023 Total births: 117 2022 Total births: 113 2021 Total births: 107 2020 Total births: 103 2019 Total births: 97 2018 Total births: 91 2017 Total births: 87 2016 Total births: 71 2015 Total births: 56 2014 Total births: 51 2043 Natural increase: 85 2042 Natural increase: 84 2041 Natural increase: 85 2040 Natural increase: 84 2039 Natural increase: 85 2038 Natural increase: 85 2037 Natural increase: 87 2036 Natural increase: 88 2035 Natural increase: 90 2034 Natural increase: 90 2033 Natural increase: 90 2032 Natural increase: 90 2031 Natural increase: 90 2030 Natural increase: 91 2029 Natural increase: 91 2028 Natural increase: 90 2027 Natural increase: 89 2026 Natural increase: 87 2025 Natural increase: 85 2024 Natural increase: 83 2023 Natural increase: 80 2022 Natural increase: 77 2021 Natural increase: 74 2020 Natural increase: 71 2019 Natural increase: 67 2018 Natural increase: 62 2017 Natural increase: 59 2016 Natural increase: 44 2015 Natural increase: 31 2014 Natural increase: 28 2043 Total deaths: 65 2042 Total deaths: 65 2041 Total deaths: 63 2040 Total deaths: 63 2039 Total deaths: 61 2038 Total deaths: 60 2037 Total deaths: 58 2036 Total deaths: 56 2035 Total deaths: 54 2034 Total deaths: 53 2033 Total deaths: 52 2032 Total deaths: 51 2031 Total deaths: 49 2030 Total deaths: 47 2029 Total deaths: 46 2028 Total deaths: 45 2027 Total deaths: 44 2026 Total deaths: 43 2025 Total deaths: 41 2024 Total deaths: 39 2023 Total deaths: 38 2022 Total deaths: 36 2021 Total deaths: 34 2020 Total deaths: 32 2019 Total deaths: 31 2018 Total deaths: 29 2017 Total deaths: 27 2016 Total deaths: 27 2015 Total deaths: 25 2014 Total deaths: 23 2043 Total births: 150 2042 Total births: 149 2041 Total births: 148 2040 Total births: 147 2039 Total births: 146 2038 Total births: 145 2037 Total births: 145 2036 Total births: 144 2035 Total births: 144 2034 Total births: 143 2033 Total births: 142 2032 Total births: 140 2031 Total births: 139 2030 Total births: 138 2029 Total births: 137 2028 Total births: 135 2027 Total births: 132 2026 Total births: 129 2025 Total births: 126 2024 Total births: 123 2023 Total births: 117 2022 Total births: 113 2021 Total births: 107 2020 Total births: 103 2019 Total births: 97 2018 Total births: 91 2017 Total births: 87 2016 Total births: 71 2015 Total births: 56 2014 Total births: 51
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 137 2042 Total net migration: 138 2041 Total net migration: 117 2040 Total net migration: 120 2039 Total net migration: 111 2038 Total net migration: 82 2037 Total net migration: 54 2036 Total net migration: 50 2035 Total net migration: 55 2034 Total net migration: 5 2033 Total net migration: 123 2032 Total net migration: 184 2031 Total net migration: 127 2030 Total net migration: 128 2029 Total net migration: 92 2028 Total net migration: 70 2027 Total net migration: 80 2026 Total net migration: 127 2025 Total net migration: 189 2024 Total net migration: 334 2023 Total net migration: 531 2022 Total net migration: 409 2021 Total net migration: 456 2020 Total net migration: 438 2019 Total net migration: 562 2018 Total net migration: 639 2017 Total net migration: 233 2016 Total net migration: 102 2015 Total net migration: 546 2014 Total net migration: 534 2043 Total out migration: 1,825 2042 Total out migration: 1,805 2041 Total out migration: 1,788 2040 Total out migration: 1,770 2039 Total out migration: 1,755 2038 Total out migration: 1,742 2037 Total out migration: 1,733 2036 Total out migration: 1,725 2035 Total out migration: 1,716 2034 Total out migration: 1,714 2033 Total out migration: 1,698 2032 Total out migration: 1,677 2031 Total out migration: 1,663 2030 Total out migration: 1,648 2029 Total out migration: 1,637 2028 Total out migration: 1,627 2027 Total out migration: 1,615 2026 Total out migration: 1,599 2025 Total out migration: 1,576 2024 Total out migration: 1,536 2023 Total out migration: 1,474 2022 Total out migration: 1,424 2021 Total out migration: 1,372 2020 Total out migration: 1,324 2019 Total out migration: 1,263 2018 Total out migration: 1,195 2017 Total out migration: 1,169 2016 Total out migration: 1,153 2015 Total out migration: 1,092 2014 Total out migration: 1,034 2043 Total in migration: 1,962 2042 Total in migration: 1,943 2041 Total in migration: 1,905 2040 Total in migration: 1,890 2039 Total in migration: 1,866 2038 Total in migration: 1,824 2037 Total in migration: 1,787 2036 Total in migration: 1,775 2035 Total in migration: 1,772 2034 Total in migration: 1,719 2033 Total in migration: 1,822 2032 Total in migration: 1,861 2031 Total in migration: 1,790 2030 Total in migration: 1,776 2029 Total in migration: 1,729 2028 Total in migration: 1,697 2027 Total in migration: 1,696 2026 Total in migration: 1,726 2025 Total in migration: 1,764 2024 Total in migration: 1,870 2023 Total in migration: 2,004 2022 Total in migration: 1,834 2021 Total in migration: 1,828 2020 Total in migration: 1,762 2019 Total in migration: 1,825 2018 Total in migration: 1,834 2017 Total in migration: 1,402 2016 Total in migration: 1,255 2015 Total in migration: 1,638 2014 Total in migration: 1,567 2043 Total net migration: 137 2042 Total net migration: 138 2041 Total net migration: 117 2040 Total net migration: 120 2039 Total net migration: 111 2038 Total net migration: 82 2037 Total net migration: 54 2036 Total net migration: 50 2035 Total net migration: 55 2034 Total net migration: 5 2033 Total net migration: 123 2032 Total net migration: 184 2031 Total net migration: 127 2030 Total net migration: 128 2029 Total net migration: 92 2028 Total net migration: 70 2027 Total net migration: 80 2026 Total net migration: 127 2025 Total net migration: 189 2024 Total net migration: 334 2023 Total net migration: 531 2022 Total net migration: 409 2021 Total net migration: 456 2020 Total net migration: 438 2019 Total net migration: 562 2018 Total net migration: 639 2017 Total net migration: 233 2016 Total net migration: 102 2015 Total net migration: 546 2014 Total net migration: 534 2043 Total out migration: 1,825 2042 Total out migration: 1,805 2041 Total out migration: 1,788 2040 Total out migration: 1,770 2039 Total out migration: 1,755 2038 Total out migration: 1,742 2037 Total out migration: 1,733 2036 Total out migration: 1,725 2035 Total out migration: 1,716 2034 Total out migration: 1,714 2033 Total out migration: 1,698 2032 Total out migration: 1,677 2031 Total out migration: 1,663 2030 Total out migration: 1,648 2029 Total out migration: 1,637 2028 Total out migration: 1,627 2027 Total out migration: 1,615 2026 Total out migration: 1,599 2025 Total out migration: 1,576 2024 Total out migration: 1,536 2023 Total out migration: 1,474 2022 Total out migration: 1,424 2021 Total out migration: 1,372 2020 Total out migration: 1,324 2019 Total out migration: 1,263 2018 Total out migration: 1,195 2017 Total out migration: 1,169 2016 Total out migration: 1,153 2015 Total out migration: 1,092 2014 Total out migration: 1,034 2043 Total in migration: 1,962 2042 Total in migration: 1,943 2041 Total in migration: 1,905 2040 Total in migration: 1,890 2039 Total in migration: 1,866 2038 Total in migration: 1,824 2037 Total in migration: 1,787 2036 Total in migration: 1,775 2035 Total in migration: 1,772 2034 Total in migration: 1,719 2033 Total in migration: 1,822 2032 Total in migration: 1,861 2031 Total in migration: 1,790 2030 Total in migration: 1,776 2029 Total in migration: 1,729 2028 Total in migration: 1,697 2027 Total in migration: 1,696 2026 Total in migration: 1,726 2025 Total in migration: 1,764 2024 Total in migration: 1,870 2023 Total in migration: 2,004 2022 Total in migration: 1,834 2021 Total in migration: 1,828 2020 Total in migration: 1,762 2019 Total in migration: 1,825 2018 Total in migration: 1,834 2017 Total in migration: 1,402 2016 Total in migration: 1,255 2015 Total in migration: 1,638 2014 Total in migration: 1,567
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
v19.11.15-1.0.0