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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Wellington City

Dwellings and development map

Between 2013 and 2043, Te Aro is forecast for the greatest increase in development of new dwellings in Wellington City.

Visualising the geographic pattern of growth in dwelling stock across Wellington City is a good starting point for assessing the scale and type of change each part of the area is undergoing. Some areas will be experiencing significant growth in new dwellings, either through greenfield development or densification and renewal.

However it would be a mistake to assume that areas not experiencing significant housing development are not undergoing change. Other processes will be at work such as the aging-in-place of the existing population and changing household structures. The age structure and household type maps will uncover these population shifts.

Forecast dwellings and development
Wellington City20132043Change between 2013 and 2043
Wellington City77,272100.098,072100.0+20,800+26.9
Aro Valley - Highbury1,4851.91,6601.7+175+11.8
Churton Park - Glenside2,3563.03,6803.8+1,324+56.2
Grenada Village - Paparangi - Woodridge - Horokiwi2,0332.63,7273.8+1,694+83.3
Island Bay - Owhiro Bay3,2504.23,7873.9+537+16.5
Kaiwharawhara - Khandallah - Broadmeadows3,9905.24,3644.4+374+9.4
Kilbirnie - Rongotai - Moa Point2,1682.82,9153.0+747+34.5
Kingston - Mornington - Vogeltown1,2771.71,4011.4+124+9.7
Lyall Bay1,1091.41,1861.2+77+6.9
Miramar - Maupuia4,3095.64,9395.0+630+14.6
Mt Cook2,6393.44,0374.1+1,398+53.0
Mt Victoria2,2672.92,5942.6+327+14.4
Newlands - Ngauranga2,7483.63,3533.4+605+22.0
Ngaio - Crofton Downs2,8163.63,2253.3+409+14.5
Northland - Wilton2,3063.02,4512.5+145+6.3
Ohariu - Makara - Makara Beach3450.44050.4+60+17.4
Roseneath - Oriental Bay1,5942.11,7411.8+147+9.2
Seatoun - Karaka Bays - Breaker Bay1,4651.91,6811.7+216+14.7
Southgate - Houghton Bay - Melrose1,5682.01,7671.8+199+12.7
Strathmore Park1,4101.81,5501.6+140+9.9
Tawa - Grenada North - Takapu Valley5,1886.76,3666.5+1,178+22.7
Te Aro4,6586.07,7767.9+3,118+66.9
Thorndon - Pipitea2,2352.93,0173.1+782+35.0
Wellington Central1,3251.73,0143.1+1,689+127.5
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2020.

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