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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Seatoun - Karaka Bays - Breaker Bay

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Seatoun - Karaka Bays - Breaker Bay is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2013 to 2018.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Wellington City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Gain of young and mature families aged 30-44 years with children aged 0-9 years
  • Large loss of young adults (aged 18-24 years) who are leaving the area for education and employment opportunities elsewhere
  • Notable loss of of mature adults, empty nesters, early retirees and retirees aged 50-74 years

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