Wellington CityPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Tawa - Grenada North - Takapu Valley

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Tawa - Grenada North - Takapu Valley is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2023 to 2028.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Wellington City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Relatively stable migration profile expected throughout the forecast period
  • Gain of young families aged 25-29 years with children aged 0-4 years
  • Gain of established families aged 30-39 years with children aged 5-14 years
  • Large loss of young adults aged 18-24 years who leave the area in search of education and employment opportunities elsewhere
  • Loss of mature adults, empty nesters and early retirees aged 45-64 years
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2023 to 2028: -10 Persons aged 80-84,  2023 to 2028: -26 Persons aged 75-79,  2023 to 2028: -11 Persons aged 70-74,  2023 to 2028: -13 Persons aged 65-69,  2023 to 2028: -37 Persons aged 60-64,  2023 to 2028: -79 Persons aged 55-59,  2023 to 2028: -95 Persons aged 50-54,  2023 to 2028: -107 Persons aged 45-49,  2023 to 2028: -111 Persons aged 40-44,  2023 to 2028: 95 Persons aged 35-39,  2023 to 2028: 200 Persons aged 30-34,  2023 to 2028: 178 Persons aged 25-29,  2023 to 2028: 87 Persons aged 20-24,  2023 to 2028: -215 Persons aged 15-19,  2023 to 2028: -220 Persons aged 10-14,  2023 to 2028: -72 Persons aged 5-9,  2023 to 2028: 133 Persons aged 0-4,  2023 to 2028: 203 Persons aged 85+,  2018 to 2023: -40 Persons aged 80-84,  2018 to 2023: -15 Persons aged 75-79,  2018 to 2023: 2 Persons aged 70-74,  2018 to 2023: -9 Persons aged 65-69,  2018 to 2023: -31 Persons aged 60-64,  2018 to 2023: -79 Persons aged 55-59,  2018 to 2023: -113 Persons aged 50-54,  2018 to 2023: -118 Persons aged 45-49,  2018 to 2023: -107 Persons aged 40-44,  2018 to 2023: 100 Persons aged 35-39,  2018 to 2023: 180 Persons aged 30-34,  2018 to 2023: 149 Persons aged 25-29,  2018 to 2023: 50 Persons aged 20-24,  2018 to 2023: -225 Persons aged 15-19,  2018 to 2023: -192 Persons aged 10-14,  2018 to 2023: -43 Persons aged 5-9,  2018 to 2023: 119 Persons aged 0-4,  2018 to 2023: 179 Persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2018: -51 Persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2018: 2 Persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2018: 17 Persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2018: 17 Persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2018: -10 Persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2018: -41 Persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2018: -77 Persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2018: -107 Persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2018: -80 Persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2018: 108 Persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2018: 185 Persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2018: 137 Persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2018: 36 Persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2018: -239 Persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2018: -187 Persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2018: -34 Persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2018: 132 Persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2018: 181 Persons aged 85+,  2023 to 2028: -10 Persons aged 80-84,  2023 to 2028: -26 Persons aged 75-79,  2023 to 2028: -11 Persons aged 70-74,  2023 to 2028: -13 Persons aged 65-69,  2023 to 2028: -37 Persons aged 60-64,  2023 to 2028: -79 Persons aged 55-59,  2023 to 2028: -95 Persons aged 50-54,  2023 to 2028: -107 Persons aged 45-49,  2023 to 2028: -111 Persons aged 40-44,  2023 to 2028: 95 Persons aged 35-39,  2023 to 2028: 200 Persons aged 30-34,  2023 to 2028: 178 Persons aged 25-29,  2023 to 2028: 87 Persons aged 20-24,  2023 to 2028: -215 Persons aged 15-19,  2023 to 2028: -220 Persons aged 10-14,  2023 to 2028: -72 Persons aged 5-9,  2023 to 2028: 133 Persons aged 0-4,  2023 to 2028: 203 Persons aged 85+,  2018 to 2023: -40 Persons aged 80-84,  2018 to 2023: -15 Persons aged 75-79,  2018 to 2023: 2 Persons aged 70-74,  2018 to 2023: -9 Persons aged 65-69,  2018 to 2023: -31 Persons aged 60-64,  2018 to 2023: -79 Persons aged 55-59,  2018 to 2023: -113 Persons aged 50-54,  2018 to 2023: -118 Persons aged 45-49,  2018 to 2023: -107 Persons aged 40-44,  2018 to 2023: 100 Persons aged 35-39,  2018 to 2023: 180 Persons aged 30-34,  2018 to 2023: 149 Persons aged 25-29,  2018 to 2023: 50 Persons aged 20-24,  2018 to 2023: -225 Persons aged 15-19,  2018 to 2023: -192 Persons aged 10-14,  2018 to 2023: -43 Persons aged 5-9,  2018 to 2023: 119 Persons aged 0-4,  2018 to 2023: 179 Persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2018: -51 Persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2018: 2 Persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2018: 17 Persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2018: 17 Persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2018: -10 Persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2018: -41 Persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2018: -77 Persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2018: -107 Persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2018: -80 Persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2018: 108 Persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2018: 185 Persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2018: 137 Persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2018: 36 Persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2018: -239 Persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2018: -187 Persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2018: -34 Persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2018: 132 Persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2018: 181
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
v19.09.29-1.0.0