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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Wellington City

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Wellington City indicate a 2.7% increase in males under working age, a 94.9% increase in males of retirement age, and a 10.3% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wellington City - Total males201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46,1636.46,1955.56,6245.4+461
5 to 95,7015.95,8675.26,1425.0+441
10 to 145,4695.75,7405.15,8414.8+372
15 to 196,9897.38,3117.48,6027.1+1,613
20 to 249,74710.111,0259.812,57310.3+2,826
25 to 298,3538.710,0449.011,2859.3+2,932
30 to 347,9468.38,5067.69,2777.6+1,331
35 to 397,2117.57,5106.78,0516.6+840
40 to 447,1957.56,6715.97,1105.8-85
45 to 496,9107.26,7186.06,8395.6-70
50 to 546,3756.66,3305.66,2805.2-95
55 to 594,9515.16,2355.65,9334.9+983
60 to 644,3304.55,8585.25,7844.7+1,454
65 to 693,2703.45,2344.75,3944.4+2,123
70 to 742,2052.34,1543.75,0554.1+2,850
75 to 791,4461.53,3513.04,4143.6+2,968
80 to 849911.02,3222.13,5202.9+2,529
85 and over8830.92,0781.93,1372.6+2,254
Total persons96,135100.0112,149100.0121,861100.0+25,726
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for males in Wellington City was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 10.1% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69, which is expected to increase by 1,964 and account for 4.7% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2028 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 11,025 males.

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