Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Wellington City

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Wellington City is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Wellington City - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)12,0906.111,9795.212,9195.2+829
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)15,4337.815,9677.016,7416.7+1,307
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)13,2546.714,7516.414,9366.0+1,682
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)28,14614.331,18413.634,88914.0+6,743
Young workforce (25 to 34)33,26216.837,42016.341,63916.7+8,378
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)44,19922.442,61618.644,87818.0+678
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)23,53211.926,32211.525,52310.2+1,991
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)15,3907.823,18810.123,3939.4+8,004
Seniors (70 to 84)10,0505.121,0649.227,90211.2+17,852
Elderly aged (85 and over)2,1451.14,7422.17,1762.9+5,032
Total persons197,500100.0229,235100.0249,997100.0+52,497

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 7,176 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2043: 27,902 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2043: 23,393 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2043: 25,523 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2043: 44,878 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2043: 41,639 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2043: 34,889 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2043: 14,936 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2043: 16,741 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 12,919 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 4,742 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2028: 21,064 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2028: 23,188 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2028: 26,322 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2028: 42,616 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2028: 37,420 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2028: 31,184 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2028: 14,751 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2028: 15,967 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 11,979 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 2,145 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2013: 10,050 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2013: 15,390 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2013: 23,532 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2013: 44,199 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2013: 33,262 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2013: 28,146 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2013: 13,254 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2013: 15,433 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 12,090
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 2,434 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2028 to 2043: 6,838 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2028 to 2043: 205 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2028 to 2043: -799 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2028 to 2043: 2,261 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2028 to 2043: 4,219 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2028 to 2043: 3,706 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2028 to 2043: 185 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2028 to 2043: 774 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 940 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 2,597 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2013 to 2028: 11,014 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2013 to 2028: 7,799 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2013 to 2028: 2,791 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2013 to 2028: -1,583 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2013 to 2028: 4,159 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2013 to 2028: 3,037 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2013 to 2028: 1,497 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2013 to 2028: 533 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -110
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In Wellington City between 2013 and 2028, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 1,920 (4.7%), and will comprise 18.6% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 21,409 (77.6%) and comprise 21.4% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2028 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 42,616 persons.

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