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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Wellington City

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Wellington City indicate a 2.1% increase in population under working age, a 77.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Wellington City - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)12,0906.112,0485.312,8875.2+797
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)15,4337.816,0597.016,7136.7+1,280
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)13,2546.714,8006.514,9056.0+1,651
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)28,14614.331,02213.534,62113.9+6,474
Young workforce (25 to 34)33,26216.837,34116.341,31216.6+8,050
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)44,19922.442,71318.644,66017.9+461
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)23,53211.926,32711.525,46710.2+1,935
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)15,3907.823,18010.123,3549.4+7,964
Seniors (70 to 84)10,0505.121,0679.227,86411.2+17,814
Elderly aged (85 and over)2,1451.14,7462.17,1702.9+5,025
Total persons197,500100.0229,303100.0248,953100.0+51,453
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Wellington City was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 22.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages Seniors (70 to 84), which is expected to increase by 11,017 and account for 9.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 42,713 persons.

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