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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Wellington City

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Wellington City indicate a 1.6% increase in females under working age, a 79.8% increase in females of retirement age, and a 10.3% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Wellington City - Total females201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)5,9265.85,8535.06,2634.9+336
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)7,6117.57,8986.78,2216.5+610
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)6,4936.47,3396.37,3725.8+879
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)14,82414.615,70013.417,48813.8+2,664
Young workforce (25 to 34)16,96316.718,79116.020,75016.3+3,787
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)22,88322.621,81518.622,66017.8-223
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)12,20612.013,76211.713,25410.4+1,048
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)7,7897.712,08910.312,1769.6+4,387
Seniors (70 to 84)5,4085.311,2419.614,87611.7+9,467
Elderly aged (85 and over)1,2621.22,6682.34,0333.2+2,771
Total persons101,365100.0117,154100.0127,092100.0+25,726
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for females in Wellington City was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 22.6% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages Seniors (70 to 84), which is expected to increase by 5,832 and account for 9.6% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2028 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 21,815 females.

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