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Wellington CityPopulation forecast


Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Newtown indicate a 55.5% increase in males under working age, a 83.4% increase in males of retirement age, and a 26.3% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Newtown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Newtown - Total males201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)2466.03516.33805.9+134
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)1994.83416.23635.6+164
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)1423.53115.63625.6+220
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)86821.21,10520.01,29720.1+428
Young workforce (25 to 34)95423.21,17421.21,41722.0+463
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)81619.988416.098215.2+166
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)4039.84908.95288.2+126
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)2636.43877.04497.0+186
Seniors (70 to 84)1864.53977.25158.0+329
Elderly aged (85 and over)280.7911.61482.3+120
Total persons4,104100.05,531100.06,441100.0+2,337
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for males in Newtown was ages Young workforce (25 to 34), which accounted for 23.2% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24), which is expected to increase by 236 and account for 20.0% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2028 is Young workforce (25 to 34) years, with a total of 1,174 males.

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